Match Info

Division 1 - Round 13

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al Raed		Al-Diriyah

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.4	1.98
	2.93	3.72	2.07	Watch
	3.2	3.4	1.95
	3.31	3.4	1.98
	3.5	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.64)	3.5 ↑ (3.36)	1.98 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Raed
28.2%

Draw
25.9%

Al-Diriyah
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27.2%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

27.3%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Raed's form might have worsened.

Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Diriyah's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Raed, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Diriyah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Al Raed - Al Diriyah Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Diriyah will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Diriyah (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Al Otaibi M. (G) 24. Al Salouli S. 21. Gonzalez O. (C) 4. Hazazi A. 13. Al Yousif A. 5. Tweh S. 8. Narvaez J. 45. Sunbul Y. 15. Shami A. 26. Bouzok Y. 11. Al Shanqiti W.	23. Al Otaibi N. (G) 12. Wadi T. 2. Al Faraj A. 15. Colley O. (C) 21. Hameran M. 8. Al Qahtani Z. 14. Rodriguez O. 17. Diandy C. 5. Al Farhan S. 7. Marega M. 9. Laborde G.
Substitutes
25. Abdulrazaq F. 12. Al-Balawi A. 48. Al-Marwani S. 22. Al Ohaymid S. (G) 6. Al Shaikhi A. 7. Al Shaikh M. 2. Al Shuqayran T. 42. Al Zahrani A. 33. Brito P.	33. Abdullah W. (G) 78. Al Asiri K. 10. Al Dossari A. 20. Al Jaafari A. 6. Al Qarni I. 77. Al Saeed S. 80. Al Shahrani A. 82. Al Zarie H. 16. Munshi B. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Marega M. ⚽, Al Qahtani Z. (A),
28', Sunbul Y. ↓, Al Shaikh M. ↑,
45+2', Al Otaibi M. 🟨,
45+8', 0 - 2, Marega M. ⚽, Rodriguez O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Al Qahtani Z. 🟨,
56', 0 - 3, Al Farhan S. ⚽,
58', Shami A. 🟨,
60', 1 - 3, Al Shanqiti W. ⚽, Tweh S. (A),
64', Al Yousif A. ↓, Al Zahrani A. ↑,
64', Shami A. ↓, Abdulrazaq F. ↑,
74', Rodriguez O. ↓, Al Zarie H. ↑,
74', Al Farhan S. ↓, Al Qarni I. ↑,
84', 2 - 3, Al Shaikh M. ⚽,
84', Narvaez J. ↓, Al Shaikhi A. ↑,
87', Diandy C. ↓, Al Jaafari A. ↑,
90+1', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
90+7', Laborde G. ↓, Al Saeed S. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Al Raed has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Diriyah is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Raed
Saudi Division 1
21.12.25	Al-Orobah - Al Raed	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Al Raed - Jeddah	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Al Raed - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Al-Jabalain - Al Raed	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Al Raed - Al-Anwar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWLT
- Al-Diriyah
Saudi Division 1
21.12.25	Al-Diriyah - Al-Zulfi	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Diriyah	3:0 ✺
28.11.25	Al-Diriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	5:1 ✺
23.11.25	Al-Diriyah - Al-Faisaly	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Al-Batin - Al-Diriyah	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWTW

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