Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 13 May 2024, Monday

Location: King Salman Sport City Stadium (Harmah)


	Al-Faisaly		Hajer

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	4.75
	1.63	3.8	5.04
	1.64	3.8	5.04
	1.5	3.75	5
	1.61	3.79	5.07
	1.59	3.8	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)	3.78 ↓ (3.85)	4.95 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Faisaly
57.3%

Draw
24.2%

Hajer
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

20.4%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Faisaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Hajer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Faisaly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajer than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Al Faisaly - Hajer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Majrashi T. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Garita A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 2 - 1, Jawshan Y. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Faisaly won 3.

Recent matches Al-Faisaly is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hajer is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Al-Faisaly is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Al-Faisaly won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Faisaly won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1
07.05.24	Jeddah - Al-Faisaly	1:0 ✺
29.04.24	Al-Faisaly - Al-Ain	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Al-Faisaly - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Faisaly	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Al-Faisaly - Al-Kholood	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWL
- Hajer Club
Saudi Division 1
07.05.24	Hajer - Al-Kholood	1:1 ✺
29.04.24	Hajer - Al-Adalh	1:1 ✺
22.04.24	Al-Ain - Hajer	3:1 ✺
15.04.24	Hajer - Al-Bukayriyah	0:1 ✺
28.03.24	Al-Batin - Hajer	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
25.12.23	Hajer - Al-Faisaly	1:1
07.02.23	Hajer - Al-Faisaly	1:0
06.09.22	Al-Faisaly - Hajer	1:0
Saudi Professional League
26.02.16	Hajer - Al-Faisaly	0:1
29.10.15	Al-Faisaly - Hajer	3:1
01.03.15	Hajer - Al-Faisaly	0:2
11.09.14	Al-Faisaly - Hajer	2:0

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