Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday


	Al-Qaisumah		Al-Faisaly

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	1.93
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.69	3.52	1.97
	3.69	3.52	1.93
	3.5	3.3	1.85
	3.62	3.57	1.91	Watch
	3.3	3.4	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.87)	3.43 ↑ (3.32)	1.93 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qaisumah
26.1%

Draw
26.6%

Al-Faisaly
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.9%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

27.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qaisumah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Qaisumah's form might have worsened.

Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Faisaly's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qaisumah than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qaisumah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Faisaly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Qaisumah - Al Faisaly Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Lucas Souza ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 1 - 1, Simoes E. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, Lucas Souza ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Recent matches Al-Qaisumah is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Faisaly is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Qaisumah won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Qaisumah won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qaisumah FC
Saudi Division 1
29.03.24	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Safa	1:3 ✺
15.03.24	Al-Kholood - Al-Qaisumah	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Bukayriyah	1:0 ✺
04.03.24	Al-Orobah - Al-Qaisumah	1:0 ✺
27.02.24	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Adalh	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWLW
- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1
29.03.24	Al-Faisaly - Al-Kholood	0:3 ✺
16.03.24	Al-Safa - Al-Faisaly	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Al-Faisaly - Al-Batin	1:3 ✺
03.03.24	Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah	5:2 ✺
27.02.24	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Faisaly	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
28.11.23	Al-Faisaly - Al-Qaisumah	2:1
07.03.23	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Faisaly	1:1
12.10.22	Al-Faisaly - Al-Qaisumah	1:0

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