Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: SAUDI PROFESSIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 15 May 2023, Monday

Location: Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium (Al-Hasa)


	Al Fateh		Al-Adalh

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4
	1.65	3.8	4
	1.57	4.1	4.75
	1.69	4.27	4.51
	1.65	3.5	4.2
	1.67	4.05	4.4	Watch
	1.68	4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.49)	3.93 ↑ (3.93)	4.31 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Fateh
55.4%

Draw
23.3%

Al-Adalh
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

23%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

21.9%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Fateh's form might have worsened.

Al-Adalh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Fateh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Adalh than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Adalh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

Al Fateh - Al Adalh Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Al Fateh will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Al-Adalh will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Fateh: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Al Fateh is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Adalh is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Al Fateh is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al Fateh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Fateh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
09.05.23	Al-Feiha - Al Fateh	3:0 ✺
03.05.23	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh	1:0 ✺
28.04.23	Al Fateh - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Al Raed - Al Fateh	0:3 ✺
06.04.23	Al Fateh - Al-Khaleej	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTWW
- Al-Adalh FC
Saudi Professional League
08.05.23	Al-Adalh - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:2 ✺
02.05.23	Abha - Al-Adalh	1:0 ✺
27.04.23	Al-Adalh - Al-Taawoun	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Damac - Al-Adalh	2:2 ✺
04.04.23	Al-Adalh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
06.01.23	Al-Adalh - Al Fateh	2:1
12.03.20	Al Fateh - Al-Adalh	0:1
18.10.19	Al-Adalh - Al Fateh	3:5

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