Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 30

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	BandSports
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	on.cc
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Shabab Riyadh		Al Fateh

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.9	3.4
	1.85	3.95	3.45
	1.9	4.23	3.7
	1.83	4.37	3.48
	1.8	3.6	3.4
	1.95	4.15	3.61	Watch
	1.8	3.8	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.8)	4 ↑ (3.8)	3.53 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shabab Riyadh
50.3%

Draw
23.3%

Al Fateh
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

24.2%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Al Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Shabab Riyadh will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Marcelo Grohe (G) 17. Al Thani M. 2. Al Shwirekh M. 3. Al Bulayhi A. 31. Balobaid S. 40. Al Asmari A. 29. Adli Y. 99. Azaizeh A. 8. Brownhill J. 10. Carrasco Y. (C) 9. Hamdallah A.	1. Pacheco F. (G) 15. Baattia S. 4. Al Jari Z. 44. Fernandes J. 50. Qasheesh M. 17. Saadane M. 33. Youssouf Z. 11. Batna M. (C) 28. Bendebka S. 27. Al Zubaidi F. 10. Vargas M.
Substitutes
22. Al Hammami H. 33. Al Mahasneh M. (G) 91. Al Othman A. 94. Al Rajeh M. 27. Al Saqour F. 20. Al Sayyali B. 70. Camara H. 7. Hernandez U. 5. Makki A.	24. Al Aboud M. 97. Al Bukhari A. (G) 55. Al Hamad F. 29. Al Masoud A. 88. Al Othman O. 25. Al Sahihi M. 49. Al Sharfa S. 87. Bin Mahmoud 23. Wesley Delgado
Coaches
Zekri N.	Gomes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Baattia S. 🟨,
33', Al Thani M. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Bendebka S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Al Thani M. ↓, Al Saqour F. ↑,
59', Al Zubaidi F. ↓, Al Sahihi M. ↑,
65', Azaizeh A. ↓, Al Hammami H. ↑,
65', Brownhill J. ↓, Hernandez U. ↑,
68', Al Shwirekh M. 🟨,
74', 1 - 1, Saadane M. (Own goal),
90', Vargas M. ↓, Al Masoud A. ↑,
90', Qasheesh M. ↓, Wesley Delgado ↑,
90', Baattia S. ↓, Bin Mahmoud ↑,
90+3', Al Masoud A. ↓, Al Othman O. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 1.

Al-Shabab has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al Fateh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Shabab is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Al Shabab	7	0	4	3	6:11	-5	4
17	Al Fateh	8	0	3	5	4:15	-11	3

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Shabab Riyadh - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.02%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shabab Riyadh
Gulf Club Champions League
23.04.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Rayyan	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Zakho - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:2 penalties ✺
Saudi Professional League
14.04.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTTW
- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
24.04.26	Al Fateh - Al-Khaleej	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Al Akhdoud - Al Fateh	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Al Fateh - Al-Hilal	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Taawoun - Al Fateh	3:2 ✺
26.02.26	Al Fateh - Damac	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
03.01.26	Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:0
01.05.25	Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	3:1
05.12.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh	2:2
27.05.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh	3:2
15.12.23	Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1
Saudi King Cup
31.10.23	Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:2 ET
Saudi Professional League
03.05.23	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh	1:0

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