Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 8

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Al Fateh club stadium (Al-Hofuf) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1
Asia	—	SPOTV 2 Asia
Austria	16:55	DAZN
Brazil	11:55	Canal GOAT
Cambodia	21:55	MyTV
Croatia	16:55	SportKlub 3
France	16:55	DAZN France
Germany	16:55	DAZN Deutsch
India	20:25	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	21:55	SPOTV 2, Vidio
Kenya	17:55	Gotv
Malaysia	22:55	Astro Go
Mongolia	22:55	SPOTV 2
Nigeria	15:55	SupeSport ESPN 1
Philippines	22:55	SPOTV 2
Saudi Arabia	17:55	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
Singapore	22:55	SPOTV 2
Slovenia	16:55	SportKlub 3
South Africa	16:55	SupeSport ESPN
Switzerland	16:55	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	21:55	SPOTV 2, True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	17:55	HT Spor
Usa	10:55	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX Sports 2
Vietnam	21:55	SPOTV 2
International	14:55	OneFootball TV


	Al Fateh		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	4.40	4.20	1.65
	5.5	4.7	1.44
	6.02	5.23	1.46
	5.7	4.94	1.45	Watch
	5.9	5.1	1.4
	6.19	5.21	1.4
	5.6	4.9	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↓ (6.11)	4.81 ↓ (5)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Fateh
16.7%

Draw
19.4%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
63.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.2%

18.5%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

18%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Fateh - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 22. Al Khaibre A. R. 8. Lixandru M. 17. Saadane M. (C) 3. Boateng K. 78. Al Suwailem A. 11. Batna M. 6. Al Hassan A. 28. Youssouf Z. 10. Haraslin L. 9. Kanga W.	1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 15. Baattia S. 28. Demiral M. (C) 5. Sulaiman M. 31. Balobaid S. 6. Atangana V. 30. Al Johani Z. 7. Trincao 20. Matheus Goncalves 13. Galeno 17. Toney I.
Substitutes
80. Al Abdulwahed F. 94. Al Enezi W. (G) 18. Al Fawaz A. 88. Al Othman O. 25. Al Sahihi M. 49. Al Sharfa S. 7. Al Zubaidi F. 87. Bin Mahmoud 19. Kelder R.	62. Abdo A. (G) 29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat S. 9. Al Buraikan F. 11. Al Mutairi M. 19. Bondarenko A. 46. Hamidou R. 21. Radif A. 8. Spertsyan E.
Coaches
Sellami J.	Pusic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Trincao ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Youssouf Z. ↓, Al Fawaz A. ↑,
46', Matheus Goncalves ↓, Spertsyan E. ↑,
46', Al Khaibre A. R. ↓, Bin Mahmoud ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Trincao ⚽,
55', Boateng K. 🟨,
60', 0 - 3, Toney I. ⚽, Spertsyan E. (A),
62', Galeno ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
62', Al Hassan A. ↓, Kelder R. ↑,
62', Kanga W. ↓, Al Abdulwahed F. ↑,
63', Saadane M. 🟨,
76', Atangana V. 🟨,
76', Al Abdulwahed F. 🟨,
78', Toney I. ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
78', Atangana V. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
82', Haraslin L. ↓, Al Sharfa S. ↑,
85', Trincao ↓, Al Mutairi M. ↑,
89', 0 - 4, Al Johani Z. ⚽,
90+2', Batna M. 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 15th and 6th in the Promotion - AFC Champions League 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 2.

Al Fateh is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Al-Ahli has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The betting markets point to Al-Ahli as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Al Fateh has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:35 (averaging 1.1:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Al Fateh against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 15:13 goals (averaging 1.5:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Al Ahli SC	10	7	0	3	27:13	14	21
16	Al Fateh	11	1	3	7	10:23	-13	6

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Ahli Jeddah - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.26%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
13.09.26	Neom - Al Fateh	4:2 ✺
09.09.26	Al Fateh - Al-Diriyah	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Al-Taawoun - Al Fateh	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Al Fateh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:0 ✺
26.08.26	Al-Faisaly - Al Fateh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTTT
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
19.09.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
14.09.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Pakhtakor	1:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
11.09.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Hazem	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Riyadh	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
06.05.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Fateh	3:1
26.12.25	Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1
07.02.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Fateh	2:0
27.08.24	Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:0
02.03.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Fateh	1:1
02.09.23	Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	5:1
11.02.22	Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1

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