The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al Fateh 16%
Draw 19.1%
Al-Ahli Jeddah 64.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.2%
18.5%
66.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.8%
18%
68.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Al Fateh - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th and 6th in the Promotion - AFC Champions League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Al Fateh (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Al-Ahli has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Al-Ahli holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Al Fateh has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:35 (averaging 1.1:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al Fateh against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 15:13 goals (averaging 1.5:1.3 per game).
Outrights of Saudi Professional League for now
Al Ahli SC: 15.97% Al Fateh: 0.23%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Al Ahli SC
7
4
0
3
16:10
6
12
15
Al Fateh
7
0
3
4
4:11
-7
3
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Ahli Jeddah - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.26%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.