Match Info

FIFA Intercontinental Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium (Pretoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Asia	MBC Action
Brazil	SporTV
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Kenya	Gotv
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
South-africa	SuperSport Football
Sweden	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Mamelodi Sundowns		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.50	2.30
	2.85	3.50	2.32
	3.16	3.61	2.26
	2.7	3.59	2.41
	2.95	3.55	2.20
	2.89	3.56	2.26	Watch
	2.95	3.55	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.3)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	2.29 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns
32.3%

Draw
26.5%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

25.7%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

24.9%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ahli Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Williams R. (C) 3. Ndamane K. 6. Modiba A. 20. Kekana G. 22. Matuludi T. 27. Morena T. 4. Mokoena T. 10. Santos N. 11. Allende M. 17. Matthews T. 12. Leon B.	16. Mendy E. (C) 15. Baattia S. 28. Demiral M. 3. Ibanez 2. Al Hawsawi Z. 30. Al Johani Z. 6. Atangana V. 8. Spertsyan E. 7. Trincao 17. Toney I. 9. Al Buraikan F.
Substitutes
9. Arthur Sales 15. Aubaas B. J. 23. Basadien F. 19. Cele T. 31. Goss R. (G) 42. Khoza M. 33. Mailula C. 40. Mvala M. 38. Ndlovu S. 13. Rayners I. 29. van Wyk A. 18. Zwane T.	29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat S. 11. Al Mutairi M. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 31. Balobaid S. 19. Bondarenko A. 4. Diaby I. 13. Galeno 46. Hamidou R. 66. Masoud N. 20. Matheus Goncalves 5. Sulaiman M.
Coaches
Cardoso M.	Pusic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Santos N. ⚽, Mokoena T. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Williams R. (Own goal),
27', Mokoena T. 🟨,
35', Atangana V. 🟨,
45', Ibanez 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Kekana G. ↓, Khoza M. ↑,
61', Leon B. 🟨,
65', Al Hawsawi Z. 🟨,
79', Trincao ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
79', Baattia S. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Santos N. ⚽, Matuludi T. (A),
81', Santos N. 🟨,
84', Santos N. ↓, Aubaas B. J. ↑,
85', Al Hawsawi Z. ↓, Galeno ↑,
85', Al Johani Z. ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
85', Matthews T. ↓, Arthur Sales ↑,
85', Matuludi T. ↓, Ndlovu S. ↑,
90+2', Modiba A. ↓, Basadien F. ↑,
90+3', Spertsyan E. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
90+4', Demiral M. 🟨,

Preview

Mamelodi Sundowns is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Al-Ahli has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Al-Ahli holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Premier Soccer League
12.09.26	Chippa United - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Siwelele	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Milford	2:0 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
30.08.26	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWWW
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
AFC Champions League
14.09.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Pakhtakor	1:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
11.09.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Hazem	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Riyadh	5:0 ✺
01.09.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TWLWL

Upcoming Matches