Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League - Round 23

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports Extra 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now


	Al-Feiha		Al-Wahda Mecca

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.5
	1.88	3.15	3.95
	1.82	3.6	4.41
	1.82	3.51	4.32	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.75
	1.81	3.44	4.17	Watch
	1.88	3.15	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)	3.34 ↓ (3.7)	4.15 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Feiha
50.1%

Draw
27.6%

Al-Wahda Mecca
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

18%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Feiha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Al-Wahda Mecca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Feiha than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Feiha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wahda Mecca than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Wahda Mecca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Al Feiha - Al Wahda Mecca Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Feiha will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Mosquera O. (G) 22. Al Baqawi M. (C) 21. Al Sahafi Z. 5. Smalling C. 2. Saleh M. 25. Abdi F. 14. Al Beshe M. 8. Pozuelo A. 20. Shukurov O. 10. Sakala F. 9. Lopez R.	1. Al Owayshir A. (G) 35. Al Makahasi M. 22. Makki A. 5. El Yamiq J. 13. Al Alaeli M. 4. Bakshween W. (C) 18. Bguir S. 23. Goodwin C. 10. Bacuna J. 11. Amyn Y. 80. Naji Y.
Substitutes
99. Al Abdulmanam M. 1. Al Dakheel A. (G) 47. Al Dowaish M. 15. Al Harajin A. 29. Al Harthi N. 4. Al Khaibari Sami 75. Al Rammah K. 13. Cimirot G. 7. Onyekuru H.	28. Al Eisa H. 8. Al Haji A. 47. Al Rashidi A. (G) 49. Al Salem A. 6. Cretu A. 14. Derwish A. 9. Ighalo O. 77. Khadhari M.
Coaches
Emanuel P.	Carreno D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Goodwin C. 🟨,
82', Goodwin C. ↓, Ighalo O. ↑,
83', Naji Y. 🟨,
86', Pozuelo A. ↓, Cimirot G. ↑,
86', Al Beshe M. ↓, Onyekuru H. ↑,
87', Al Sahafi Z. ↓, Al Khaibari Sami ↑,
90+1', Bguir S. ↓, Khadhari M. ↑,
90+6', Bakshween W. ↓, Cretu A. ↑,
90+6', Naji Y. ↓, Al Eisa H. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Feiha won 2.

Recent matches Al Feiha is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Wahda has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Wahda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Al Feiha will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Al Feiha won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Al Feiha won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Feiha
Saudi Professional League
26.02.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Feiha	0:0 ✺
20.02.25	Al-Feiha - Al-Khaleej	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Al Raed - Al-Feiha	0:2 ✺
07.02.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Feiha	3:0 ✺
31.01.25	Al-Feiha - Al-Taawoun	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWLT
- Al-Wahda Mecca
Saudi Professional League
25.02.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:4 ✺
07.02.25	Al-Orobah - Al-Wahda Mecca	4:2 ✺
30.01.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
03.10.24	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Feiha	2:2
02.04.24	Al-Feiha - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:2
07.10.23	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Feiha	1:1
31.05.23	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Feiha	0:1
04.02.23	Al-Feiha - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:0
20.02.20	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Feiha	0:2
20.09.19	Al-Feiha - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:1

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