Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League - Round 18

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Japan	U-NEXT
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports Extra 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now


	Al-Riyadh		Al-Wahda Mecca

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.7
	1.98	3.5	3.6
	1.95	3.6	3.6
	1.98	3.69	3.7
	1.96	3.58	3.63	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.4
	1.94	3.52	3.54
	1.95	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.01)	3.52 ↑ (3.51)	3.6 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Riyadh
47.6%

Draw
26.5%

Al-Wahda Mecca
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

26.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

26.4%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Al-Wahda Mecca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wahda Mecca than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Al Riyadh - Al Wahda Mecca Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Al-Riyadh will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Al-Wahda will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Borjan M. (G) 87. Tambakti M. H. 29. Asiri A. 5. Barbet Y. 8. Al Khaibari A. I. 11. Bayesh I. 17. Selemani F. 21. Lucas Kal 20. Toze 43. Mensah B. 13. Konate M.	1. Al Owayshir A. (G) 2. Al Muwallad S. 6. Cretu A. 17. Al Hafith A. 49. Al Salem A. 35. Al Makahasi M. 8. Al Haji A. 23. Goodwin C. 18. Bguir S. 11. Amyn Y. 9. Ighalo O.
Substitutes
10. Al Abed N. 7. Al Aqel M. S. M. 50. Al Hawsawi N. 25. Al Menhali S. 28. Al Mutairi B. 27. Al Nuweqi H. 40. Al Shammari A. (G) 88. Al Shehri Y. 16. Haji T.	28. Al Eisa H. 19. Al Qahtani S. 47. Al Rashidi A. (G) 10. Bacuna J. 4. Bakshween W. 14. Derwish A. 5. El Yamiq J. 77. Khodari M. 22. Makki A.
Coaches
Lamouchi S.	Carreno D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Toze 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Al Hafith A. ↓, El Yamiq J. ↑,
59', Al Makahasi M. ↓, Bakshween W. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Al Owayshir A. (Own goal),
76', Konate M. 🟨,
77', Bayesh I. ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
78', Al Khaibari A. I. ↓, Al Hawsawi N. ↑,
78', Selemani F. ↓, Al Abed N. ↑,
81', Tambakti M. H. 🟨,
81', Bguir S. ↓, Bacuna J. ↑,
81', Amyn Y. ↓, Al Eisa H. ↑,
84', Al Abed N. 🟨,
90+6', Mensah B. ↓, Al Menhali S. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Recent matches Al-Riyadh is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Wahda is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Riyadh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Al-Riyadh will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Riyadh won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Riyadh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Riyadh SC
Saudi Professional League
26.01.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Riyadh	5:0 ✺
21.01.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
15.01.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh	2:1 ✺
09.01.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Khaleej	2:2 ✺
06.12.24	Al-Orobah - Al-Riyadh	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLTW
- Al-Wahda Mecca
Saudi Professional League
25.01.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:2 ✺
21.01.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Wahda Mecca	4:1 ✺
17.01.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Qadisiya	0:3 ✺
09.01.25	Al Fateh - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:2 ✺
05.12.24	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Akhdoud	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
22.08.24	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Riyadh	3:3
24.12.23	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Riyadh	3:1
13.08.23	Al-Riyadh - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:0
Saudi Division 1
06.03.15	Al-Riyadh - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:1
01.11.14	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Riyadh	1:2

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