Match Info

Date: 18 December 2020, Friday


	Al-Fujairah		Shabab Al-Ahli

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.5	1.4	Watch
	5.75	4.25	1.42
	8	4.65	1.3	Watch
	6.8	4.2	1.4
	7.42	4.52	1.44
	6.5	4.2	1.44
	6.35	4.7	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.65 ↑ (4.93)	4.43 ↑ (4.19)	1.4 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Fujairah
13.8%

Draw
20.7%

Shabab Al-Ahli
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

21.5%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

18%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Fujairah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shabab Al-Ahli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Fujairah than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shabab Al-Ahli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Fujairah - Shabab Al Ahli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 8).

Al Fujairah is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Shabab Al-Ahli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al Fujairah could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Shabab Al-Ahli have a series of home games.

In this match Shabab Al-Ahli is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Al Fujairah won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Fujairah won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Fujairah SC
UAE Football League
10.12.20	Al-Nasr - Al-Fujairah	3:2 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
05.12.20	Al-Fujairah - Al Wasl	0:1 ✺
UAE Football League
30.11.20	Al-Fujairah - Al-Jazira	0:3 ✺
26.11.20	Al Wasl - Al-Fujairah	3:0 ✺
20.11.20	Al-Fujairah - Hatta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
UAE Football League
11.12.20	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Dhafra	0:0 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
06.12.20	Shabab Al-Ahli - Hatta	3:0 ✺
UAE Football League
30.11.20	Al-Sharjah - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:1 ✺
26.11.20	Shabab Al-Ahli - Ajman Club	5:1 ✺
21.11.20	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Jazira	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
02.02.20	Al-Fujairah - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:0
27.09.19	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Fujairah	5:1
25.05.19	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Fujairah	1:3
14.12.18	Al-Fujairah - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:1
15.04.16	Al-Fujairah - Shabab Al-Ahli	2:2
05.12.15	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Fujairah	4:1
26.04.15	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Fujairah	1:0

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