The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shabab Al-Ahli 68.1%
Draw 17.9%
Ittihad Kalba 14%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
69.8%
16.6%
13.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.6%
15.5%
12.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shabab Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Ittihad Kalba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shabab Al-Ahli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ittihad Kalba than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
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Shabab Al Ahli - Ittihad Kalba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 3.
Shabab Al-Ahli arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Ittihad Kalba has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Shabab Al-Ahli has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
The betting markets point to Shabab Al-Ahli as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Shabab Al-Ahli in today's match, at odds of 1.34.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Shabab Al-Ahli has recorded 14 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 39:13 (averaging 2:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shabab Al-Ahli against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 23:8 goals (averaging 2.3:0.8 per game).