Match Info

Stars League - Round 19

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Al-Gharraf		Duhok

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.88	2.52
	2.66	2.92	2.42
	2.75	3.02	2.51	Watch
	2.7	2.75	2.5
	2.71	2.93	2.48	Watch
	3	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (1.96)	2.92 ↓ (3.16)	2.45 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharraf
32.6%

Draw
30.8%

Duhok
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

29%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

29.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharraf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharraf's form might have worsened.

Duhok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Duhok's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Gharraf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duhok than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duhok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Al Gharraf - Duhok Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Al-Gharraf will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Duhok will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Duhok (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
42', 1 - 0, Kuku K. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Ghariani B. ⚽,
45+5', 2 - 1, Ben Souda Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
67', 3 - 1, Kuku K. ⚽,
79', 4 - 1, Ghariani B. ⚽,
81', 4 - 2, Darwiche K. ⚽,
85', 4 - 3, Gwargis P. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Duhok may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Al-Gharraf might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Duhok	8	1	6	1	11:11	0	9
19	Al Gharraf	8	1	2	5	4:12	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharraf SC
Iraqi Premier League
13.02.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Gharraf	0:1 ✺
04.02.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Gharraf	3:1 ✺
26.01.26	Al-Gharraf - Amanat Baghdad	3:2 ✺
22.01.26	Diyala - Al-Gharraf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWT
- Duhok
Iraqi Premier League
13.02.26	Duhok - Al Mosul	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Al-Kahraba - Duhok	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Al-Qasim - Duhok	0:3 ✺
28.01.26	Duhok - Al-Zawraa	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Zakho - Duhok	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTWTT

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