Match Info

Stars League - Round 27

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Al-Karma		Duhok

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.92	3.1
	2.21	2.97	3.1
	2.26	3	3.16	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.1
	2.31	3.04	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.26)	2.95 ↓ (3)	3.14 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Karma
40.4%

Draw
30.7%

Duhok
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30.5%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

29.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Duhok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duhok than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Al Karma - Duhok Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Othman B. (Own goal),
26', 2 - 0, Hussein A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 3 - 0, Hussein A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Al-Karma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Karma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Karma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Duhok	8	1	6	1	11:11	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karma SC
Iraqi Premier League
04.04.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
30.03.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Karma	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Al-Karma - Al Mosul	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Zakho - Al-Karma	2:2 ✺
12.03.26	Al-Karma - Al-Gharraf	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTTW
- Duhok
Iraqi Premier League
04.04.26	Duhok - Al-Talaba	1:0 ✺
30.03.26	Duhok - Zakho	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Al-Minaa - Duhok	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Duhok - Arbil	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Al-Karkh - Duhok	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
14.09.25	Duhok - Al-Karma	0:1
21.06.25	Al-Karma - Duhok	1:0
29.01.25	Duhok - Al-Karma	3:1

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