The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Karma 55.8%
Draw 25.2%
Duhok 19.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.6%
24.8%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
24.1%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Karma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Duhok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duhok than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
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X
2
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Preview
The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase and 8th).
Al-Karma has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Duhok have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Al-Karma carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Al-Karma has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:3 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Karma against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals (averaging 2:0 per game).