Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: SAUDI PROFESSIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Al Hazem		Al Raed

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.1
	3	3.5	2.15
	3	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.73	2.2
	3.11	3.73	2.2
	2.38	3.4	2.4
	2.99	3.52	2.16
	2.95	3.55	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.36)	3.58 ↑ (3.38)	2.2 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Hazem
31.7%

Draw
26%

Al Raed
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

27.2%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Hazem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Hazem's form might have worsened.

Al Raed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Raed's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Hazem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Raed, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Hazem - Al Raed Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Zaid I. (C) 99. Al Mhemaid A. 2. Ricardo P. 36. Bruno Viana 27. Qasheesh M. 29. Vina 21. Traore B. 20. Toze 11. Al Thani M. 90. Badamosi M. 10. Selemani F.	1. Moreira A. (G) 2. Whaeshi B. 21. Gonzalez O. 19. Al Fahad A. 32. Al Dossary M. 14. Al Beshe M. 5. Loum M. 24. Al Subaie M. 10. Fouzair M. 7. Sayoud A. 11. El Berkaoui K.
Substitutes
88. Abusabaan M. 13. Al Bakr Y. 34. Al Dakheel A. 19. Al Habashi N. 66. Al Mutairi T. 6. Al Sayyali B. 24. Al Shammari M. 7. Al Shammari Y. 30. Dahmen A. (G)	49. Al Ghamdi F. 9. Al Ghamdi R. 28. Al Jayzani H. 43. Al Yousef A. 18. Hazazi N. 8. Normann M. 45. Sunbul Y. 50. Sunyur M. (G) 17. Tavares J.
Coaches
Gouveia F.	Jovicevic I.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Hazem won 2.

Al Hazem is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Raed has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al Raed could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Al Hazem won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Hazem won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Hazem
Saudi Professional League
05.10.23	Damac - Al Hazem	4:1 ✺
29.09.23	Al Hazem - Al-Taawoun	1:3 ✺
Saudi King Cup
24.09.23	Al Hazem - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	3:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
21.09.23	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Hazem	4:1 ✺
16.09.23	Al Hazem - Al-Taee	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLT
- Al Raed
Saudi Professional League
07.10.23	Al-Khaleej - Al Raed	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Al Raed - Al Akhdoud	1:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
25.09.23	Al-Najma - Al Raed	2:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
21.09.23	Al-Taawoun - Al Raed	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Al Raed - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
22.01.22	Al Hazem - Al Raed	2:0
25.08.21	Al Raed - Al Hazem	2:0
14.08.20	Al Raed - Al Hazem	3:1
22.11.19	Al Hazem - Al Raed	2:3
11.04.19	Al Hazem - Al Raed	1:0
20.12.18	Al Raed - Al Hazem	1:0

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