Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 29

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Al Taawon Arena (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports 5
South-korea	SPOTV Now


	Al-Taawoun		Al Raed

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.75	4.1
	1.9	3.5	3.8
	1.92	3.5	3.8
	1.85	3.68	4.12
	1.86	3.61	4.02
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.9	3.81	4.12
	1.92	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.97)	3.57 ↓ (3.75)	3.92 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Taawoun
49.8%

Draw
26.3%

Al Raed
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

24.9%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

24.3%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Taawoun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Al Taawoun - Al Raed Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Al Raed will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Taawoun: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Taawoun will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Taawoun won 4.

Recent matches Al-Taawoun is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al Raed is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Raed could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Al-Taawoun will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Al-Taawoun won 11 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 37:24 (average 1.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Taawoun won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:13 (average 1.9:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Taawoun FC
Saudi Professional League
19.04.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
15.04.25	Al-Sharjah - Al-Taawoun	2:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
11.04.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Taawoun	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
08.04.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Sharjah	1:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
04.04.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Taawoun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLTWW
- Al Raed
Saudi Professional League
19.04.25	Al-Orobah - Al Raed	0:4 ✺
11.04.25	Al Raed - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Al Raed - Al-Khaleej	1:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
02.04.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al Raed	1:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
13.03.25	Al Fateh - Al Raed	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
30.11.24	Al Raed - Al-Taawoun	0:1
16.03.24	Al Raed - Al-Taawoun	0:0
21.09.23	Al-Taawoun - Al Raed	2:1
09.05.23	Al-Taawoun - Al Raed	2:1
31.12.22	Al Raed - Al-Taawoun	2:3
12.02.22	Al Raed - Al-Taawoun	0:3
17.09.21	Al-Taawoun - Al Raed	3:5

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