Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 4

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Kingdom Arena (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Solh Sports 1
Africa	New World Sport 7, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1
Asia	JACO Middle East, SPOTV 2 Asia
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV 2, Vidio
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV 2
Philippines	SPOTV 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Saudi-arabia	Shahid, Thmanyah
Singapore	SPOTV 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9, #Vamos
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	SPOTV 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
Vietnam	SPOTV 2


	Al-Hilal		Al Akhdoud

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.25	13
	1.14	7.5	14.5
	1.12	9.69	16.13
	1.21	6.19	12.33	Watch
	1.18	8.06	17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.09)	7.54 ↓ (9.8)	14.59 ↓ (17.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Hilal
81%

Draw
12.5%

Al Akhdoud
6.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.3%

9.4%

5.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Al Hilal - Al Akhdoud Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Al Akhdoud (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Hilal will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 3 - 60%). Al Akhdoud (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Bono (G) 88. Al Yami H. 3. Koulibaly K. 87. Tambakti H. 19. Hernandez T. 16. Al Dawsari N. 8. Neves R. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 29. Al Dawsari S. (C) 11. Kaio Cesar 9. Marcos Leonardo	94. Samuel Portugal (G) 21. Abu Abd M. 15. Asiri N. 22. Gunter K. 3. Al Salem A. 98. Al Qaydhi M. 9. Kramer B. 6. Petros (C) 17. Gul G. 7. Narey K. 13. Bassogog C.
Substitutes
4. Akcicek Y. 5. Al Bulayhi A. 99. Al Hamdan A. 24. Al Harbi M. 15. Al Qahtani M. 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 14. Darisi A. 28. Kanno M. 78. Lajami A.	14. Al Abbas S. 20. Al Harthi S. 12. Al Hatila A. 10. Al Jahif M. 1. Al Najjar R. (G) 8. Al Zabdani H. 77. Balhareth S. 87. Hawsawi G. 19. Salem S.
Coaches
Inzaghi S.	Paulo Sergio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Narey K. ⚽, Gul G. (A),
25', Koulibaly K. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Marcos Leonardo ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 1, Hernandez T. ⚽, Kaio Cesar (A),
45+6', Kramer B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Narey K. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
72', Gul G. 🟨,
72', Bassogog C. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Marcos Leonardo ⚽,
83', Kaio Cesar ↓, Al Qahtani M. ↑,
83', Asiri N. 🟨,
87', Asiri N. ↓, Hawsawi G. ↑,
87', Abu Abd M. ↓, Salem S. ↑,
87', Al Jahif M. ↓, Al Harthi S. ↑,
90', Al Yami H. ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
90', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
90', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
90+2', Koulibaly K. ↓, Akcicek Y. ↑,
90+3', Hawsawi G. 🟨,

Preview

Al-Hilal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Hilal is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:0. (average 3.3:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Hilal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi King Cup
22.09.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Hilal	0:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
19.09.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal	3:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.25	Al-Hilal - Al Duhail	2:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
13.09.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Riyadh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTWTW
- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi King Cup
21.09.25	Al Raed - Al Akhdoud	0:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
18.09.25	Neom - Al Akhdoud	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Taawoun	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:5 ✺
26.05.25	Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
31.01.25	Al-Hilal - Al Akhdoud	4:0
24.08.24	Al Akhdoud - Al-Hilal	0:3
02.04.24	Al-Hilal - Al Akhdoud	3:0
07.10.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Hilal	0:3

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