Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Kingdom Arena (Riyadh)

Referee: Evans S. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Qatar	Al Kass Five, Shoof
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Slovenia	SportKlub 3
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Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Al-Hilal		Al Duhail

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.23	6.5	10
	1.23	6.5	8.8	Watch
				Watch
	1.25	6.4	10.5	Watch
	1.2	7.6	10.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.39)	6.75 ↑ (4.85)	9.9 ↑ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Hilal
76.6%

Draw
13.9%

Al Duhail
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

19.6%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

18.5%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.

Al Duhail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Al Hilal - Al Duhail Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Al Duhail (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Users Predictions: Al-Hilal will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Bono (G) 20. Cancelo J. 87. Tambakti H. 4. Akcicek Y. 19. Hernandez T. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 8. Neves R. 16. Al Dawsari N. 10. Malcom 9. Marcos Leonardo 29. Al Dawsari S. (C)	1. Zakaria S. (G) 17. Sabaly Y. 5. Al Rawi B. (C) 21. Castelletto J. 4. Aymen Y. 24. Al Amin H. 19. Bourigeaud B. 12. Boudiaf K. 10. Luis Alberto 9. Piatek K. 77. Boulbina A.
Substitutes
5. Al Bulayhi A. 99. Al Hamdan A. 24. Al Harbi M. 89. Al Malki A. 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 88. Al Yami H. 11. Kaio Cesar 28. Kanno M. 78. Lajami A. 7. Nunez D. 25. Patouillet M. (G)	45. Abushanab A. I. 20. Al Ahrak A. 18. Al Brake S. 14. Al Minhali G. 22. Bamba I. 30. Burke B. (G) 25. Hamza M. 96. Hassan A. (G) 81. Jamshid T. 15. Luiz Ceara
Coaches
Inzaghi S.	Belmadi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Boulbina A. ⚽, Sabaly Y. (A),
40', Cancelo J. ↓, Al Yami H. ↑,
44', Boudiaf K. ↓, Luiz Ceara ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Castelletto J. ↓, Bamba I. ↑,
46', Tambakti H. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Nunez D. ⚽, Al Yami H. (A),
66', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Hernandez T. ⚽,
72', Aymen Y. 🟨,
78', Sabaly Y. ↓, Al Brake S. ↑,
81', Al Dawsari S. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
81', Malcom ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
90+3', Luiz Ceara 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 3.

Al-Hilal has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Al Duhail has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Hilal is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 2.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Hilal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
13.09.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Riyadh	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Al-Hilal	2:3 ✺
10.08.25	Aarau - Al-Hilal	0:6 ✺
06.08.25	Balingen - Al-Hilal	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWWW
- Al Duhail
Qatar QSL
12.09.25	Al Duhail - Umm-Salal	4:2 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
02.09.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Al Duhail	0:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
28.08.25	Al-Rayyan - Al Duhail	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Al Duhail - Al-Wakrah	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Al Duhail - Al-Shahania	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
26.02.23	Al Duhail - Al-Hilal	0:7
20.05.19	Al Duhail - Al-Hilal	2:2
12.03.19	Al-Hilal - Al Duhail	3:1
15.09.15	Al Duhail - Al-Hilal	2:2
25.08.15	Al-Hilal - Al Duhail	4:1
22.05.13	Al Duhail - Al-Hilal	2:2
15.05.13	Al-Hilal - Al Duhail	0:1

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