Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 February 2023, Monday

Location: Al Janoub Stadium (Al Wakrah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sport 1+
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Al-Hilal		Shabab Al-Ahli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.9	4.8	Watch
	1.54	3.95	5.2
	1.68	4.08	5.06
	1.6	3.7	4.8
	1.61	4.1	5.2
	1.64	3.95	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.55)	3.95 ↓ (4.07)	4.94 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Hilal
57.6%

Draw
23.6%

Shabab Al-Ahli
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

22.7%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

22.7%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Al Hilal - Shabab Al Ahli Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Shabab Al-Ahli will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shabab Al-Ahli: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Al-Hilal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shabab Al-Ahli is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Hilal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Al-Hilal have a series of guest games.

In this match Al-Hilal is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Al-Hilal won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Hilal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Hilal Riyadh
FIFA Club World Cup
11.02.23	Real Madrid - Al-Hilal	5:3 ✺
07.02.23	Flamengo - Al-Hilal	2:3 ✺
04.02.23	Wydad Casablanca - Al-Hilal	1:2 penalties ✺
Saudi Super Cup
26.01.23	Al-Feiha - Al-Hilal	1:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
22.01.23	Al-Hilal - Abha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWWLW
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
UAE Football League
14.02.23	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Dhafra	2:0 ✺
10.02.23	Al-Wahda - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Shabab Al-Ahli - Dibba Al Fujairah	5:1 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
31.01.23	Shabab Al-Ahli - Emirates Club	2:0 ✺
UAE Football League
27.01.23	Al-Sharjah - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
30.04.21	Al-Hilal - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:2
18.04.21	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Hilal	0:2
23.09.20	Al-Hilal - Shabab Al-Ahli	Canceled
17.02.20	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Hilal	1:2
17.04.12	Al-Hilal - Shabab Al-Ahli	N/A

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