Match Info

Division 1 - Round 17

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	FIFA+


	Al-Ittifaq		Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain

	1	X	2
	5.3	3.95	1.5
	5.18	3.93	1.56
	4.44	3.93	1.63
	4.75	3.5	1.57
	4.83	3.82	1.58	Watch
	6	4.75	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.08 ↓ (5.71)	3.98 ↓ (4.19)	1.53 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ittifaq
17.9%

Draw
22.8%

Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

21.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

21.1%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ittifaq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittifaq than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Al Ittifaq - Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Essa R. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Balotelli M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 1 - 2, Diego J. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, Diego J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Al-Ittifaq has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Arabi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Al-Arabi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Arabi is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ittifaq won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Arabi	5	4	1	0	15:7	8	13
15	Al-Ittifaq	5	0	1	4	2:9	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ittifaq FC UAE
UAE Division 1
16.02.26	Masfout - Al-Ittifaq	3:2 ✺
06.02.26	Gulf United - Al-Ittifaq	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Emirates Club - Al-Ittifaq	3:2 ✺
11.01.26	Al-Ittifaq - United FC	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Al-Ittifaq - Dibba Al-Hisn	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLL
- Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain
UAE Division 1
16.02.26	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Al Urooba	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Masfout	5:2 ✺
24.01.26	Gulf United - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - United FC	1:2 ✺
30.12.25	Al Hamriyah - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UAE Division 1
28.09.25	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Al-Ittifaq	3:1

Al-Ittifaq - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide