Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj TV
Africa	Azam Sports 1, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	SuperSport 5
Austria	Laola1
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
Germany	Laola1
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Mexico	FOX One
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Al-Ittihad Jeddah		Al-Nassr Riyadh

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.50	1.40
	5.75	5.00	1.44
	5.10	4.40	1.47
	5.44	5.09	1.52
	5.37	5	1.48	Watch
	5.80	5.30	1.41
	6.13	5.52	1.46
	5.50	4.85	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.54 ↑ (4.3)	4.96 ↑ (4)	1.45 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Ittihad Jeddah
16.9%

Draw
18.9%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

22.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

22.3%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ittihad Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Nassr Riyadh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Nassr Riyadh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Ittihad Jeddah - Al Nassr Riyadh Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (1.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rajkovic P. (G) 32. Al Julaydan A. 2. Pereira D. (C) 15. Kadesh H. 25. Abdi F. 30. Lopy D. 8. Ali M. 27. Al Ghamdi A. 10. Aouar H. 34. Bergwijn S. 9. Ilenikhena G.	1. Al Aqidi N. (G) 12. Boushal N. 3. Simakan M. 5. Al Amri A. 83. Al Najdi S. 21. Coman K. 11. Samu Costa 20. Angelo 10. Mane S. 79. Joao Felix 7. Ronaldo C. (C)
Substitutes
50. Al Absi M. (G) 22. Al Sahafi M. 13. Al Shanqiti M. 11. Al Shehri S. 66. Barnawi M. 21. En Nesyri Y. 42. Fagihy M. 60. Kaabi R. 5. Rios R.	9. Al Hamdan A. 17. Al Khaibari A. 14. Al Najei S. 6. Al Nasser S. 4. Al Sharari N. 70. Aman A. 24. Bento (G) 60. Haqawi S. 23. Yahya A.
Coaches
Wissing J.	Postecoglou A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Ilenikhena G. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Ilenikhena G. ⚽, Aouar H. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Angelo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ali M. ↓, Rios R. ↑,
53', Al Julaydan A. ↓, Al Shanqiti M. ↑,
53', Lopy D. 🟨,
55', Samu Costa 🟨,
60', Coman K. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
60', Al Najdi S. ↓, Al Nasser S. ↑,
67', Al Ghamdi A. ↓, Al Sahafi M. ↑,
67', Ilenikhena G. ↓, En Nesyri Y. ↑,
69', Joao Felix 🟨,
78', Angelo ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
78', Samu Costa ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,
79', Al Khaibari A. 🟨,
82', Bergwijn S. ↓, Kaabi R. ↑,
90+1', Al Amri A. 🟨,
90+2', En Nesyri Y. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 2.

Al-Ittihad is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Nassr is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Nassr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Nassr is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:33. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.7:1.6).

Outrights of Saudi Professional League for now

Al Nassr: 14.87% Al Ittihad: 9.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Ittihad	7	5	2	0	12:6	6	17
3	Al Nassr	7	5	1	1	16:7	9	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
29.08.26	Al Fateh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:0 ✺
24.08.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al Hazem	3:2 ✺
21.08.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
18.08.26	Al-Najma - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:3 ✺
Saudi Professional League
15.08.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Kholood	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWT
- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
28.08.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:3 ✺
21.08.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:4 ✺
Saudi King Cup
18.08.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:4 ✺
Saudi Professional League
15.08.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Fateh	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
06.02.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:0
Saudi King Cup
28.10.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:2
Saudi Professional League
26.09.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2
Saudi Super Cup
19.08.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:1
Saudi Professional League
07.05.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:3
06.12.24	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:1
27.05.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	4:2

Upcoming Matches