Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 4 December 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sport 1
Malaysia	Astro
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Al-Ittihad Jeddah		Sepahan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.1
	2.23	3.3	3.47
	2.23	3.26	3.47
	2.05	3.5	2.9
	1.95	3.62	3.66	Watch
	2.2	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.44)	3.39 ↑ (3.3)	3.26 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ittihad Jeddah
43.6%

Draw
27.7%

Sepahan
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.3%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ittihad Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ittihad Jeddah's performance.

Sepahan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sepahan than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.1%	3.4%	3.4%

Al Ittihad Jeddah - Sepahan Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 27 - 93.1%). Sepahan will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ittihad: 83.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Al Muaiouf A. (G) 13. Al Shanqiti M. 5. Luiz Felipe 26. Hegazy A. (C) 12. Al Hawsawi Z. 8. Fabinho 16. Al Ghamdi F. 11. Jota 99. Hamdallah A. 77. Al Amri S. 17. Al Sahafi M.	1. Niazmand P. (G) 14. Yousefi A. 6. Dabo B. 58. Daneshgar M. 9. Rezaeian R. 70. Moghanlou S. 66. Ghorbani M. 10. Ahmadzadeh F. 8. Karimi M. (C) 18. Zakipour M. 5. Asadi R.
Substitutes
88. Al Mermesh O. (G) 24. Al Obud A. 29. Al Shamrani F. 28. Bamsaud A. 70. Camara H. 52. Haji T. 4. Hawsawi Om.	77. Ahmadi A. 7. Alkasir I. 44. Mirzazad N. (G) 90. Pahlevan E. 11. Rezaei K. 22. Salehi M. S. (G) 80. Sarshogh A. 81. Shekari R. 99. Yazdani S.
Coaches
Gallardo M.	Morais J.

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Al-Ittihad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sepahan have a series of home games.

Al-Ittihad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Ittihad won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Ittihad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
30.11.23	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Khaleej	4:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
27.11.23	AGMK - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
24.11.23	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:1 ✺
10.11.23	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Abha	4:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
06.11.23	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWTWL
- Sepahan FC
AFC Champions League
27.11.23	Sepahan - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
23.11.23	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Sepahan	1:3 ✺
12.11.23	Sepahan - Persepolis	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
06.11.23	Sepahan - AGMK	9:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
02.11.23	Sepahan - Malavan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
04.05.16	Sepahan - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:2
20.04.16	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Sepahan	4:0

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