Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Sepahan		AGMK

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.31	5.5	8.5	Watch
	1.3	5.5	9	Watch
	1.32	5.6	9.6
	1.32	5.43	9.13
	1.25	5.5	8
	1.27	5.75	9.9	Watch
	1.32	5.2	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.55)	5.5 ↑ (3.6)	8.85 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sepahan
72.3%

Draw
17.1%

AGMK
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

24.5%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sepahan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sepahan's performance.

AGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AGMK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sepahan than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sepahan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AGMK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Sepahan - AGMK Predictions

Users Predictions: Sepahan will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Niazmand P. (G) 9. Rezaeian R. 66. Ghorbani M. 58. Daneshgar M. 18. Zakipour M. 10. Ahmadzadeh F. 8. Karimi M. (C) 86. Hosseinnejad M. 2. Mohammadi H. 5. Asadi R. 90. Pahlevan E.	1. Ergashev B. (G) 7. Akhmadaliev D. 3. Rakhmanov S. 23. Businov I. 2. Komilov A. 4. Kosimov M. 18. Kasymov B. 19. Khasanov M. 17. Tursunov S. (C) 10. Giyosov K. 27. Boakye M.
Substitutes
77. Ahmadi A. 7. Alkasir I. 6. Dabo B. 44. Mirzazad N. (G) 70. Moghanlou S. 91. Nilson Junior 22. Salehi M. S. (G) 80. Sarshogh A. 14. Yousefi A.	38. Bashriddinov S. 29. Denisov V. 24. Ermatov M. 88. Haghnazari S. 25. Rakhimov V. (G) 15. Rustamov O. 20. Tukhtakhujaev I. 39. Umrzoqov A. 12. Yokubov D. (G)
Coaches
Morais J.	Kasymov M.

Preview

Recent matches Sepahan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AGMK is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Sepahan is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sepahan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sepahan FC
Iran Pro League
02.11.23	Sepahan - Malavan	2:3 ✺
29.10.23	Nassaji Mazandaran - Sepahan	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
23.10.23	AGMK - Sepahan	1:3 ✺
Iran Pro League
07.10.23	Sepahan - Sanat Naft	4:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.09.23	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Sepahan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWWT
- FC AGMK
Uzbek League
01.11.23	AGMK - Turon	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Andijan - AGMK	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
23.10.23	AGMK - Sepahan	1:3 ✺
Uzbek Cup
19.10.23	AGMK - Navbahor Namangan	3:2 penalties ✺
Uzbek League
12.10.23	Qizilqum - AGMK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
23.10.23	AGMK - Sepahan	1:3

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