Match Info

Division 1 - Round 34

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Saudi-arabia	Aloula


	Al Jandal		Al-Najma

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.8
	2.6	3.2	2.46
	2.76	3.35	2.62
	2.72	3.22	2.44	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.91
	2.66	3.33	2.55	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.99)	3.26 ↓ (3.44)	2.32 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Jandal
31.4%

Draw
28.5%

Al-Najma
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

26.6%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

25.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Jandal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Jandal's performance.

Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Najma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Jandal than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Jandal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Najma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Jandal - Al Najma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Jandal (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Al-Najma (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Al Jandal (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Jandal (votes: 3 - 75%). Al-Najma (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Damen Al Ruwaili O. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Al Harbi I. ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, Al Harbi I. ⚽,
39', 2 - 2, Al Rashwodi N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 2 - 3, Khattab A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Al-Najma is Qualified for Saudi Professional League

Al Jandal has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Najma has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Al-Najma is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al Jandal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Al Jandal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Jandal SC
Saudi Division 1
12.05.25	Al Hazem - Al Jandal	3:1 ✺
06.05.25	Al Jandal - Al-Jabalain	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Al Jubail - Al Jandal	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Abha - Al Jandal	1:1 ✺
15.04.25	Al Jandal - Al-Faisaly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTL
- Al-Najma Unaizah
Saudi Division 1
12.05.25	Al-Najma - Ohud Medina	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Abha - Al-Najma	1:0 ✺
30.04.25	Al-Najma - Al-Bukayriyah	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Al-Najma - Al-Jabalain	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Jeddah - Al-Najma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
15.02.25	Al-Najma - Al Jandal	1:1
28.02.24	Al-Najma - Al Jandal	3:1
20.09.23	Al Jandal - Al-Najma	3:2

Al Jandal - Al-Najma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide