Match Info

Date: 26 April 2022, Tuesday


	Al-Jazira		Al-Shabab Riyadh

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.1	1.7	Watch
	3.55	3.4	1.88
	4.8	4	1.59
	5.88	4.33	1.54
	3.5	3.4	1.91
	5.15	4.33	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↓ (5.7)	3.93 ↓ (4.2)	1.7 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Jazira
20.8%

Draw
23.9%

Al-Shabab Riyadh
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

21.6%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

21%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Jazira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Shabab Riyadh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Jazira than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Jazira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Shabab Riyadh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	40%	45%

Al Jazira - Al Shabab Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Al Jazira will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Al-Shabab will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Shabab: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Al-Jazira is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Shabab is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Al-Shabab is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Jazira won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Jazira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Jazira Club
AFC Champions League
22.04.22	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Jazira	3:2 ✺
18.04.22	Mumbai City - Al-Jazira	0:0 ✺
14.04.22	Al-Jazira - Mumbai City	1:0 ✺
11.04.22	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Jazira	3:0 ✺
08.04.22	Al-Jazira - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTWLL
- Al-Shabab Riyadh
AFC Champions League
22.04.22	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Mumbai City	6:0 ✺
18.04.22	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	3:0 ✺
14.04.22	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
11.04.22	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Jazira	3:0 ✺
08.04.22	Mumbai City - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
11.04.22	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Jazira	3:0
23.04.14	Al-Jazira - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:2
11.03.14	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Jazira	1:3
01.05.13	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Jazira	2:1
12.03.13	Al-Jazira - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1

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