Match Info

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 14

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday


	Al Jazira Hamra		Al-Taawon

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.6	3.5
	1.85	3.61	3.77
	1.82	3.61	3.77
	1.75	3.5	3.5
	1.79	3.68	3.68	Watch
	1.82	3.7	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.97)	3.62 ↓ (3.75)	3.63 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Jazira Hamra
50.1%

Draw
25%

Al-Taawon
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

24.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

23.5%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Jazira Hamra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Al-Taawon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Jazira Hamra than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Jazira Hamra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taawon than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Taawon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 13).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Al Jazira Hamra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Al Jazira Hamra will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Al Jazira Hamra won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Jazira Hamra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Jazira Hamra
UAE Division 1
23.12.23	United FC - Al Jazira Hamra	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Al Jazira Hamra - Dubai City	1:1 ✺
11.12.23	Al Dhaid - Al Jazira Hamra	3:0 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
03.12.23	Dibba Al Fujairah - Al Jazira Hamra	1:0 ✺
UAE Division 1
24.11.23	Al Jazira Hamra - Dibba Al Fujairah	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLLL
- Al-Taawon Club UAE
UAE Division 1
22.12.23	Al-Taawon - Al Dhafra	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Gulf Heroes - Al-Taawon	3:2 ✺
10.12.23	Al-Taawon - Gulf United	0:1 ✺
23.11.23	Al Urooba - Al-Taawon	1:0 ✺
06.11.23	Al-Taawon - United FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

UAE Division 1
07.05.23	Al Jazira Hamra - Al-Taawon	2:2
31.12.22	Al-Taawon - Al Jazira Hamra	1:2
19.03.22	Al Jazira Hamra - Al-Taawon	2:1
03.12.21	Al-Taawon - Al Jazira Hamra	2:3

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