Match Info

Date: 21 February 2022, Monday


	Al-Khaleej		Al-Diriyah

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.15	3.15	2.85
	2.07	3.15	3.44
	2.15	3	3
	2.07	3.36	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.84)	3.13 ↓ (3.36)	3.13 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Khaleej
42.3%

Draw
28.8%

Al-Diriyah
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.3%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

17.8%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Khaleej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Khaleej's form might have worsened.

Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Diriyah's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Khaleej that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Diriyah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Khaleej - Al Diriyah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 14).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Al-Khaleej will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Khaleej won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Khaleej won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Khaleej Club of Saihat
Saudi Division 1
14.02.22	Al-Kholood - Al-Khaleej	1:1 ✺
08.02.22	Al-Khaleej - Al-Kawkab	3:1 ✺
01.02.22	Al-Nahda - Al-Khaleej	2:0 ✺
24.01.22	Al-Khaleej - Al-Jabalain	0:0 ✺
18.01.22	Al-Jeel - Al-Khaleej	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLTW
- Al-Diriyah
Saudi Division 1
15.02.22	Al-Diriyah - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
09.02.22	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Diriyah	0:0 ✺
31.01.22	Al-Diriyah - Al-Adalh	0:1 ✺
24.01.22	Al-Orobah - Al-Diriyah	3:1 ✺
17.01.22	Al-Diriyah - Jeddah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
13.10.21	Al-Diriyah - Al-Khaleej	0:2
24.11.20	Al-Khaleej - Al-Diriyah	0:1
Saudi King Cup
08.11.19	Al-Diriyah - Al-Khaleej	0:2

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