Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League 2 - Round 4

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Bahrain National Stadium (Riffa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, TOD
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Ukraine	Sport 1
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball


	Al Khalidiah		Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.25	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.14	3.13
	2.24	3.13	3.11	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.27	3.15	3.08	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.71)	3.16 ↓ (3.6)	3.06 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Khalidiah
40.9%

Draw
29.1%

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25.3%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.7%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Khalidiah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Khalidiah's form might have worsened.

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Khalidiah than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Khalidiah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Al Khalidiah - Al Quwa Al Jawiya Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Al Khalidiah will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Ahmed A. (G) 3. Mohamed A. 4. Bughammar A. 44. Baqer S. M. 6. Ismael D. 5. Dabo S. 14. Al Rashdan N. 10. Al Humaidan M. 19. Al Aswad K. 7. Belatreche O. 77. Igor Torres	31. Dalfi M. R. (G) 48. Hanoon R. 3. Temanfo A. 17. Saadoon M. 29. Kilota G. 77. Sami M. 15. Isaiah A. 7. Hadi S. 25. Ameer S. 10. Ahmed H. 9. Abdulnabi A.
Substitutes
12. Abdulla A. 11. Abdullatif I. 27. Al Sharqawi A. 17. Al Shorooqi T. 15. Boumessous R. 33. El Gharably M. (G) 45. Hasan M. A. M. D. 16. Issa S. R. 21. Mendy D. 9. Moreira G. 2. Saeed S. D. 23. Zaalani N.	5. Fawzi Y. 1. Ibadi Jabbar A. (G) 4. Mashaan H. 33. Mohammad Sadeq 12. Mohammed H. (G) 6. Omar A. S. 26. Qosim Nassif M. 13. Resan B. 24. Ridha F. 11. Salazar C. 23. Tahseen Z. 30. Waleed M.
Coaches
Ashour A.	Rizik W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Al Aswad K. ⚽, Ismael D. (A),
10', Bughammar A. ↓, Zaalani N. ↑,
39', Hanoon R. 🟨,
45+1', Dabo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Sami M. ↓, Resan B. ↑,
46', Belatreche O. ↓, Saeed S. D. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Ismael D. ⚽, Al Aswad K. (A),
56', 3 - 0, Al Aswad K. ⚽, Dabo S. (A),
63', Isaiah A. ↓, Fawzi Y. ↑,
63', Hanoon R. ↓, Waleed M. ↑,
64', Igor Torres ↓, Hasan M. A. M. D. ↑,
64', Dabo S. ↓, Moreira G. ↑,
73', Ahmed H. ↓, Qosim Nassif M. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Abdulnabi A. ⚽, Waleed M. (A),
80', Ismael D. ↓, Mendy D. ↑,
81', Temanfo A. ↓, Salazar C. ↑,
89', Hadi S. 🟨,
90', 4 - 1, Al Aswad K. (Pen),

Preview

Al Khalidiah in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al Khalidiah won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Khalidiah FC
Bahraini Premier League
27.10.24	Al Khalidiah - East Riffa Club	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.24	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al Khalidiah	1:2 ✺
02.10.24	Altyn Asyr - Al Khalidiah	0:1 ✺
Bahraini Premier League
27.09.24	Al Khalidiah - Al-Riffa	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Manama Club - Al Khalidiah	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WWWWW
- Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
Iraqi Premier League
02.11.24	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Zakho	1:0 ✺
30.10.24	Al-Karkh - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Diyala	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.24	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al Khalidiah	1:2 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
06.10.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
23.10.24	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al Khalidiah	1:2

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