The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya 51.8%
Draw 27%
Diyala 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57%
25.9%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.2%
24.9%
16.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya's form might have worsened.
Diyala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Al Quwa Al Jawiya - Diyala Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 1 - 0, Jawad M. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 1, Al Immari D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13th and 10th).
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Diyala has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Diyala could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
Iraq
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