Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League 2 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Bahrain National Stadium (Riffa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	Shabake 3
Montenegro	SportKlub
North-macedonia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball


	Al Khalidiah		Tractor Sazi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.8	Watch
	3.93	3.62	1.84
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (2.94)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)	1.82 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Khalidiah
24.1%

Draw
25.9%

Tractor Sazi
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

28.1%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

27.8%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Khalidiah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Khalidiah's form might have worsened.

Tractor Sazi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tractor Sazi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Khalidiah than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Khalidiah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tractor Sazi than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tractor Sazi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

Al Khalidiah - Tractor Sazi Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Al Khalidiah will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tractor Sazi will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tractor Sazi: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. El Gharably M. (G) 2. Saeed S. D. (C) 6. Ismael D. 13. Ivanovic F. 4. Bughammar A. 10. Al Humaidan M. 5. Dabo S. 9. Gleison Moreira 23. Al Romaihi M. 21. Mendy D. 40. Marinkovic J.	1. Beiranvand A. (G) 2. Shiri M. 3. Khalilzadeh S. (C) 33. Aghasi A. 22. Naderi M. 20. Hashemnejad M. 8. Postonjski I. 10. Alves R. 9. Torabi M. 19. Strkalj T. 99. Hosseinzadeh A.
Substitutes
22. Abdulhakeem M. (G) 11. Abdullatif I. 14. Al Rashdan N. 27. Al Sharqawi A. 17. Al Shorooqi T. 20. Al Yahyaei S. 7. Azaizeh A. 44. Baqer S. M. 45. Hasan M. A. M. D. 16. Issa S. R. 3. Mohamed A. 90. Thiago Fernandes	15. Arta A. 90. Ashouri S. 25. Drozdek D. 11. Esmaeilifar D. 50. Ghanbari M. 4. Gholami A. 6. Hosseini M. 17. Karimazar S. 14. Kor M. 70. Najari E. (G) 5. Pourali P. 21. Pour Hamidi H. (G)
Coaches
Ashour A.	Skocic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Hashemnejad M. 🟨,
45+2', Alves R. 🟨,
45+3', Mendy D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Strkalj T. ↓, Drozdek D. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Al Romaihi M. ⚽, Al Humaidan M. (A),
50', 1 - 1, Hosseinzadeh A. ⚽, Naderi M. (A),
55', 1 - 2, Drozdek D. ⚽,
61', Dabo S. 🟨,
64', Mendy D. ↓, Azaizeh A. ↑,
64', Dabo S. ↓, Al Rashdan N. ↑,
72', Torabi M. ↓, Hosseini M. ↑,
73', Naderi M. ↓, Esmaeilifar D. ↑,
74', Al Humaidan M. ↓, Al Yahyaei S. ↑,
75', Bughammar A. ↓, Issa S. R. ↑,
75', Al Romaihi M. ↓, Hasan M. A. M. D. ↑,
90+3', Hosseinzadeh A. ↓, Ashouri S. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Recently Al Khalidiah have a series of guest games.

Tractor Sazi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Khalidiah FC
Bahraini Premier League
06.02.25	Ali CSC - Al Khalidiah	1:2 ✺
Bahraini Kings Cup
02.02.25	Etehad Al Reef - Al Khalidiah	1:6 ✺
Bahraini Premier League
18.01.25	Al-Najma - Al Khalidiah	1:3 ✺
10.01.25	Al Khalidiah - Bahrain SC	3:0 ✺
15.12.24	Malkiya - Al Khalidiah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWL
- Tractor Sazi FC
Iran Pro League
06.02.25	Zob Ahan - Tractor Sazi	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Tractor Sazi - Havadar	4:0 ✺
26.01.25	Persepolis - Tractor Sazi	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Tractor Sazi - Mes Rafsanjan	5:1 ✺
02.01.25	Tractor Sazi - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW

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