The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fajr Sepasi 17.7%
Draw 29%
Tractor Sazi 53.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
16.8%
30.7%
52.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.1%
30.2%
51.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Tractor Sazi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tractor Sazi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th and 3rd in the Promotion - AFC Champions League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fajr Sepasi won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Tractor Sazi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Tractor Sazi is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Fajr Sepasi has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:12 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fajr Sepasi against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Tractor
9
6
2
1
12:2
10
20
8
Fajr Sepasi
10
3
5
2
10:12
-2
14
Last Results with these Odds
Tractor Sazi - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 52.44%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.