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Current Win Probability
Al Masry 49%
Draw 30.5%
Pharco 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.6%
29%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.9%
29.7%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Masry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Pharco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
43.7%
37.5%
18.7%
Al Masry - Pharco Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Al Masry will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Pharco will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Al Masry: 21.5% โ 71.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Gad M. (G) 20. Eid A. 5. Sobhi K. 29. Hashem M. 8. Ali H. 6. Makhlouf M. 17. El Gohary Y. 30. Deghmoum A. 15. El Armouty A. 11. El Shami M. (C) 24. Badji P.
25. Shika M. (C) 17. Encada J. 20. Gamal A. 4. Awad A. 21. Ghouma A. 19. Emad M. 22. Gehad M. 28. Tula E. B. 14. Mohamed Fakhri 31. Sherif A. 7. Nasser A.
Substitutes
10. Bambo K. 4. Dabash M. 7. El Eraki K. 12. El Ghandour K. 13. El Saadawy A. 21. Fekri S. 18. Hamdi M. (G) 9. Salah Mohsen 25. Samadou A.
13. Elmallah Y. M. A. 77. El Moutaraji Z. 88. Ezz M. 6. Kamel G. 23. Mostafa W. 16. Nadeem M. (G) 33. Ndiaye B. 27. Rafik S. 32. Reda O.
Coaches
Maher A.
Khattab A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', El Armouty A. 🟨,
13', El Shami M. 🟨,
13', Encada J. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Makhlouf M. ⚽, Ali H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Tula E. B. 🟨,
60', Tula E. B. ↓, El Moutaraji Z. ↑,
60', Ghouma A. ↓, Kamel G. ↑,
75', Gad M. 🟥,
78', El Armouty A. ↓, Hamdi M. ↑,
82', El Gohary Y. ↓, Samadou A. ↑,
82', Deghmoum A. ↓, El Eraki K. ↑,
82', Badji P. ↓, Salah Mohsen ↑,
85', Encada J. ↓, Ndiaye B. ↑,
85', Gehad M. ↓, Ezz M. ↑,
90', Mohamed Fakhri ↓, Reda O. ↑,
90+3', El Shami M. ↓, Fekri S. ↑,
90+8', Reda O. 🟨,
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Masry won 4.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Pharco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Pharco have a series of home games.
In this match Al Masry is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Al Masry won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.3:0.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Al Masry won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).
Egypt
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Gad M. (G) 
Deghmoum A. 
Badji P. 
Encada J. 
Ghouma A. 
Tula E. B. 
Samadou A. 
El Moutaraji Z. 
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