The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pharco 27.4%
Draw 31%
Smouha 41.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26%
29.8%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
29.8%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pharco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.1%
57.1%
35.7%
Pharco - Smouha Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Pharco will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Smouha will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% โ 83%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Shika M. (G) 12. Marei Y. 20. Gamal A. 21. Ghouma A. 17. Encada J. 19. Emad M. 88. Ezz M. 18. Farag W. 11. Fouad A. 7. Nasser A. 31. Sherif A.
1. Soliman E. (G) 21. Mostafa M. 24. Mohamed Ragab 2. Hesham H. 15. Gaber I. 7. Canaria 36. Dodo D. 33. Saber M. 19. El Badry M. 18. Hassan H. (C) 10. El Ouadi A.
Substitutes
4. Awad A. 13. Elmallah Y. M. A. 77. El Moutaraji Z. 6. Kamel G. 14. Mohamed Fakhri 16. Nadeem M. (G) 33. Ndiaye B. 32. Reda O. 28. Tula E. B.
27. Ajayi J. 23. Amadi S. 6. Amer A. 37. Bostangy A. 14. Juhayna 22. Khaled A. 11. Reda S. 28. Said M. 29. Taimour H. (G)
Coaches
Khattab A.
Samy A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Dodo D. ⚽, Saber M. (A),
22', Canaria 🟨,
30', Marei Y. 🟨,
42', Dodo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ezz M. ↓, Mohamed Fakhri ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Nasser A. (Pen),
65', Ghouma A. ↓, Kamel G. ↑,
65', Farag W. ↓, El Moutaraji Z. ↑,
66', El Badry M. ↓, Khaled A. ↑,
66', Saber M. ↓, Amadi S. ↑,
75', Fouad A. ↓, Tula E. B. ↑,
77', El Ouadi A. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
79', Tula E. B. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, El Moutaraji Z. ⚽,
86', Hesham H. ↓, Reda S. ↑,
86', Canaria ↓, Ajayi J. ↑,
88', Sherif A. ↓, Ndiaye B. ↑,
90+1', Emad M. 🟨,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 16 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Losers stage: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pharco won 2.
Recent matches Pharco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Smouha is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Pharco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Smouha will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Pharco won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 0.8:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Pharco won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).