Match Info

CAF Confederation Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Borg El Arab Stadium (Alexandria)

Referee: Boubou T. (Mli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 360, Supersport WWE
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect
Egypt	On Time Sports 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Philippines	beIN Connect
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4, SuperSport WWE
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Al Masry		Simba

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.8	4.33	Watch
	1.62	3.25	5.25
	2.05	2.85	4.33	Watch
	1.89	2.9	4.71	Watch
	1.62	3.1	6
	1.89	2.9	4.79	Watch
	2.05	2.85	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.01)	2.95 ↓ (3.03)	4.82 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

Watch this match and CAF Confederation Cup with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 6

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Current Win Probability

Al Masry
49.5%

Draw
31.3%

Simba
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

30.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

31%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Masry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Simba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Al Masry - Simba Predictions

Users Predictions: Al Masry will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Gad M. (G) 2. El Mohamady B. 14. Hamada M. 26. Sobhi K. 20. Eid A. 6. Makhlouf M. 5. El Gohary Y. 13. El Saadawy A. 30. Deghmoum A. 9. Salah Mohsen 28. Ben Youssef F.	40. Camara M. (G) 12. Kapombe S. 2. Karaboue C. 14. Hamza A. 15. Hussein M. 21. Kagoma Y. 6. Luamba Ngoma F. 34. Mpanzu E. 10. Ahoua J. C. 38. Kibu D. 13. Leonel Ateba
Substitutes
8. Ali H. 23. Ebuka J. 7. El Eraki K. 19. Faisal H. 18. Hamdy M. (G) 29. Hashem M. 22. Mido Gaber 25. Samadou A. 10. Youssef M.	1. Ally Salim (G) 23. Awesu A. A. 36. Chasambi L. 17. Fernandes D. 3. Kameta D. 11. Mukwala S. 26. Mutale J. 29. Nouma V. 25. Okejepha A.
Coaches
Boujelbene A.	Davids F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Deghmoum A. ⚽, El Gohary Y. (A),
39', Eid A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Eid A. ↓, El Eraki K. ↑,
51', Deghmoum A. 🟨,
51', El Mohamady B. 🟨,
64', Deghmoum A. ↓, Samadou A. ↑,
64', Ben Youssef F. ↓, Bambo Karim ↑,
78', Salah Mohsen ↓, Ebuka J. ↑,
80', Leonel Ateba ↓, Mukwala S. ↑,
82', El Gohary Y. ↓, Mido Gaber ↑,
89', Karaboue C. 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, Ebuka J. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Simba is Qualified for CAF Confederation Cup (Play Offs )

Recent matches Al Masry is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Simba in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Simba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al Masry is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al Masry won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Al Masry won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Masry Club
Egyptian League Cup
24.03.25	National Bank of Egypt - Al Masry	1:1 ✺
19.03.25	Al Masry - ZED	1:1 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
12.03.25	Pyramids - Al Masry	0:0 ✺
Egyptian Cup
07.03.25	National Bank of Egypt - Al Masry	3:1 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
03.03.25	Al Masry - Modern Sport	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTTLW
- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
14.03.25	Simba - Dodoma Jiji	6:0 ✺
01.03.25	Coastal Union - Simba	0:3 ✺
24.02.25	Simba - Azam	2:2 ✺
19.02.25	Namungo - Simba	0:3 ✺
11.02.25	Simba - Prisons	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
17.03.18	Al Masry - Simba	0:0
07.03.18	Simba - Al Masry	2:2

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