Match Info

Federation Cup - Final

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: KMC Stadium (Dar es Salaam)


	Simba		Azam

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.35	4.45
	1.65	3.35	4.2
	1.7	3.61	4.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.94)	3.44 ↑ (3.07)	4.43 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Simba
53.5%

Draw
26.2%

Azam
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

29.4%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

27.2%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simba's performance.

Azam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simba than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azam than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Simba - Azam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Chama C. 23. De Reuck R. (C) 15. Duchu 7. Gueye L. 21. Kagoma Y. 32. Kibabage N. 35. Maema N. 34. Mpanzu E. 20. Oura A. A. 39. Rafiu Kassali A. 25. Toure I.	28. Manula A. (G) 24. Fuentes Mendoza Y. D. 30. Kitambala J. 14. Lawi L. 23. Mkami H. 12. Msindo P. 5. Mwaikenda L. (C) 11. Nado I. 6. Salum F. 9. Suleiman A. 21. Zayd Y.
Substitutes
28. Abel H. (G) 18. Abraham M. . Erasto A. (G) 8. Kante A. 12. Kapombe S. 10. Loemba I. 4. Masinde V. 5. Mligo A. 40. Mwalimu S. 37. Semfuko H.	10. Abah A. 2. Akaminko J. 60. Alobogast C. 32. Foba Z. (G) 8. Kanoute S. 52. Kibeku A. 19. Ngita J. 7. Sereri Z. 25. Twalib M. 4. Zouzou A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 🟨,
51', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Chama C. ⚽,
68', 🟥,
82', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Simba won 1.

Simba is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Azam is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Azam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Simba has had a series of home games.

In this match, Simba is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Simba will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Simba won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Simba won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
30.06.26	Simba - Kinondoni MC	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Simba - Singida Black Stars	2:0 ✺
Tanzanian Federation Cup
20.06.26	Simba - Coastal Union	4:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
17.06.26	Mbeya City - Simba	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Simba - Pamba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW
- Azam FC
Tanzanian Premier League
30.06.26	Azam - Dodoma Jiji	0:0 ✺
24.06.26	Young Africans - Azam	3:0 ✺
Tanzanian Federation Cup
21.06.26	Azam - Young Africans	3:2 ET ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
16.06.26	Azam - Mashujaa	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Azam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
05.04.26	Azam - Simba	0:0
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Azam - Simba	1:0
Tanzanian Premier League
07.12.25	Simba - Azam	0:2
24.02.25	Simba - Azam	2:2
26.09.24	Azam - Simba	0:2
09.05.24	Azam - Simba	0:3
09.02.24	Simba - Azam	1:1

Upcoming Matches