Match Info

Stars League - Round 6

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Al-Minaa		Al-Qasim

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.25	3.35
	1.87	3.38	3.91	Watch
	1.61	3.9	3.53
	2.16	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.12)	3.43 ↑ (3.25)	3.46 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Minaa
47.5%

Draw
26.4%

Al-Qasim
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

26.5%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Minaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Al-Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (+2%)

Al Minaa - Al Qasim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Azzawi A. ⚽,
25', Khalaf H. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, Azzawi A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Al-Minaa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Qasim has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Al-Minaa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Minaa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Minaa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
26.10.25	Diyala - Al-Minaa	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Al-Minaa - Najaf	4:2 ✺
27.09.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Minaa	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Al-Minaa - Arbil	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Minaa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLLW
- Al-Qasim SC
Iraqi Premier League
27.10.25	Al-Qasim - Al-Zawraa	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Al-Gharraf - Al-Qasim	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Al-Qasim - Amanat Baghdad	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Qasim	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Al-Qasim - Al-Naft	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
19.02.25	Al-Minaa - Al-Qasim	0:0
12.05.24	Al-Qasim - Al-Minaa	0:0
23.11.23	Al-Minaa - Al-Qasim	1:0
14.04.22	Al-Qasim - Al-Minaa	2:1
21.01.21	Al-Qasim - Al-Minaa	1:2

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