Match Info

Stars League - Round 24

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday


	Al-Qasim		Al-Naft

	1	X	2
	13.5	5.3	1.18
	10.9	5.29	1.21
	14.21	5.46	1.19	Watch
	15	4.8	1.2
	15	5.15	1.19	Watch
	1.14	6	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.63 ↑ (1.14)	5.33 ↓ (6)	3.33 ↓ (14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qasim
15%

Draw
32.7%

Al-Naft
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.7%

14.9%

6.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-63.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Qasim's form might have worsened.

Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+45.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Naft's recent form is better than expected.

Al Qasim - Al Naft Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Yaseen S. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Yaseen S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Qasim won 0.

Al-Qasim has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Naft has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Qasim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Naft is the team to beat.

We predict that Al-Naft will win today's game, with odds of 4.38.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Qasim won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Qasim won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Naft	8	4	3	1	9:5	4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qasim SC
Iraqi Premier League
19.03.26	Newroz - Al-Qasim	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Al-Qasim - Zakho	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Qasim	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Karkh	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Qasim - Arbil	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
21.03.26	Al-Naft - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Naft	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Al-Naft - Najaf	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Naft - Al-Karkh	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Naft	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
14.09.25	Al-Qasim - Al-Naft	0:3
23.03.25	Al-Naft - Al-Qasim	1:0
06.11.24	Al-Qasim - Al-Naft	0:0
20.05.24	Al-Naft - Al-Qasim	3:2
11.07.23	Al-Naft - Al-Qasim	2:0
22.06.22	Al-Naft - Al-Qasim	3:0
11.01.22	Al-Qasim - Al-Naft	0:0

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