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Current Win Probability
Al-Minaa 31.9%
Draw 30.3%
Duhok 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
30.2%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
29.7%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Minaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Duhok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duhok than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Al Minaa - Duhok Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, Igor ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, Jafar K. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Minaa won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Al-Minaa (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Duhok has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Al-Minaa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Al-Minaa has recorded 0 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:13 (averaging 1.4:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Minaa against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Duhok
8
1
6
1
11:11
0
9
11
Al Minaa
8
2
3
3
8:10
-2
9
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Minaa - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.74%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.