Match Info

Date: 28 April 2021, Wednesday


	Al Muaidar		Al-Gharafa

	1	X	2
	5	3.9	1.53
	4.9	3.75	1.52
	4.86	4.08	1.52
	5.05	4.33	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↓ (4.98)	4.02 ↑ (3.78)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Muaidar
18.2%

Draw
22.5%

Al-Gharafa
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

23.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

15.2%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Muaidar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Muaidar than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Muaidar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Gharafa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Al Muaidar in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al-Gharafa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Gharafa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Al-Gharafa have a series of home games.

In this match Al-Gharafa is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Al Muaidar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Muaidar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Muaidar
Qatar QFA Cup
20.04.21	Al-Wakrah - Al Muaidar	0:1 ✺
16.04.21	Umm-Salal - Al Muaidar	1:2 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
04.04.21	Al Muaidar - Al Bidda	2:2 ✺
17.03.21	Al-Markhiya - Al Muaidar	2:3 ✺
09.03.21	Al Muaidar - Al-Waab	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTWW
- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QFA Cup
24.04.21	Al-Gharafa - Qatar SC	3:0 ✺
20.04.21	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shahania	2:1 ✺
16.04.21	Al-Gharafa - Al-Markhiya	2:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
10.04.21	Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa	1:5 ✺
AFC Champions League
07.04.21	Al-Gharafa - AGMK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
14.01.17	Al-Gharafa - Al Muaidar	2:2
15.10.16	Al Muaidar - Al-Gharafa	1:2
21.02.14	Al-Gharafa - Al Muaidar	3:0
07.11.13	Al Muaidar - Al-Gharafa	1:3

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