Match Info
Gulf Club Champions League - Round 5Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday
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Al-Nahda |
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Al-Shabab Riyadh |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.25 |
2.98 |
2.12 |
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 |
2.95 |
2.99 |
2.31 |
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 |
3.01 |
3.09 |
2.38 |
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 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
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2.99 |
2.95 |
2.34 |
Watch |
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5 |
2.1 |
2.25 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.35 ↑ (2.71) |
2.82 ↓ (3.14) |
2.28 ↓ (2.54) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Al-Nahda 27.4% | Draw 32.5% | Al-Shabab Riyadh 40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Nahda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Nahda's form might have worsened.Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nahda than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Nahda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-3.8%)Al Nahda - Al Shabab Riyadh Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Al-Shabab will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Al Thani M. 🟨,
- 14', Oloumou P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Al Thani M. ↓, Al Saqour F. ↑,
- 46', Azaizeh A. ↓, Hamdallah A. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 1, Hernandez U. ⚽, Brownhill J. (A),
- 62', Al Habsi H. ↓, Al Habsi M. ↑,
- 63', Moosa A. ↓, Al Saadi H. ↑,
- 70', Gui I. ↓, Al Tamtami A. ↑,
- 79', Balobaid S. ↓, Al Sibyani H. K. A. ↑,
- 83', Al Hammami H. ↓, Camara H. ↑,
- 84', Al Rushaidi T. 🟨,
- 84', Brownhill J. ↓, Adli Y. ↑,
- 87', Al Habashi G. ↓, Al Rawahi M. ↑,
- 87', Oloumou P. ↓, Al Wahshi J. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Al Habsi M. ⚽, Al Saadi H. (A),
- 90+1', Al Habsi M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nahda won 1.Al-Nahda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Al-Shabab has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Al-Nahda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Al-Shabab will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Al-Nahda won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.6:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nahda won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Gulf Club Champions League | | | 01.10.25 | Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nahda | 1:1 | | Omani League | | | 24.02.19 | Al-Nahda - Al-Shabab Riyadh | 1:4 | | 30.08.18 | Al-Nahda - Al-Shabab Riyadh | 2:0 | | 28.04.18 | Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nahda | 1:1 | | 29.09.17 | Al-Nahda - Al-Shabab Riyadh | 0:1 | | 14.04.17 | Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nahda | 1:0 | | 23.10.16 | Al-Nahda - Al-Shabab Riyadh | 1:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;