Match Info

UAE League - Round 12

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Al Maktoum Stadium (Dubai)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv, Maraya, Sharjah Sports
World	Triller TV+


	Al-Nasr		Al-Sharjah

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.35	2.18	Watch
	3.01	3.56	2.19	Watch
	3	3.2	2.1
	2.9	3.28	2.23	Watch
	3	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (1.9)	3.36 ↓ (3.58)	2.17 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nasr
30.7%

Draw
27.2%

Al-Sharjah
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

25.7%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

25.3%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nasr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Nasr's form might have worsened.

Al-Sharjah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Sharjah's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Nasr, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sharjah than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Sharjah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Al Nasr - Al Sharjah Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Nasr will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Al-Sharjah will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nasr: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nasr (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Al-Sharjah (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Al-Nasr (2.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nasr (votes: 4 - 80%). Al-Sharjah (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Al Tamimi A. (G) 20. Agudelo K. 24. Al Zaabi Z. 4. Glauber 2. Sultan S. 19. Milivojevic L. (C) 38. Ndiaye M. 6. Mahdi H. 10. Ghayedi M. 9. Santos J. 13. Mierez R.	40. Al Hosani A. (C) 19. Khaled Ebraheim 5. Katinic M. 20. Cho Yu-Min 22. Meloni M. 11. Luan Pereira 6. Suroor M. 8. Poblete G. 77. Igor Coronado 7. Caio Lucas 30. Camara O.
Substitutes
8. Abdulbasit M. 25. Abdulrahman O. (G) 80. Al Somhi S. 23. Doumbia C. 21. Idrees A. 5. Karamatic M. 43. Mensah B. 75. Osama Z. 12. Shambih A. (G)	4. Abdulrahman S. 10. Ben Larbi F. 23. Fetai F. 18. Ghanim A. 16. Guarirapa S. 88. Hassan M. 9. Manaj R. 26. Mohamed D. (G) 33. Prijovic V. 3. Saleh A. 15. Suhail H.
Coaches
Jokanovic S.	Morais J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Agudelo K. ⚽, Mierez R. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Sultan S. (Own goal),
19', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
22', Agudelo K. ↓, Mensah B. ↑,
31', Suroor M. 🟨,
38', Poblete G. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Milivojevic L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
60', 2 - 2, Caio Lucas ⚽, Igor Coronado (A),
63', 2 - 3, Camara O. ⚽, Luan Pereira (A),
68', 2 - 4, Caio Lucas ⚽, Khaled Ebraheim (A),
69', Khaled Ebraheim ↓, Abdulrahman S. ↑,
69', Camara O. ↓, Suhail H. ↑,
69', Poblete G. ↓, Ben Larbi F. ↑,
72', Mahdi H. ↓, Idrees A. ↑,
79', Milivojevic L. ↓, Abdulbasit M. ↑,
79', Ghayedi M. ↓, Doumbia C. ↑,
86', Caio Lucas ↓, Manaj R. ↑,
86', Igor Coronado ↓, Hassan M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 1.

Al-Nasr is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Sharjah has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Al-Sharjah has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nasr won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Al Sharjah	5	3	0	2	10:7	3	9
9	Al Nasr	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nasr SC
UAE Football League
02.01.26	Bani Yas - Al-Nasr	1:2 ✺
28.12.25	Al-Nasr - Al Ain	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Al Bataeh - Al-Nasr	2:3 ✺
UAE League Cup
13.12.25	Al Ain - Al-Nasr	0:2 ✺
05.12.25	Al-Nasr - Al Ain	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WTWWL
- Al-Sharjah
UAE Football League
02.01.26	Al Ain - Al-Sharjah	1:0 ✺
UAE Super Cup
27.12.25	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Sharjah	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.12.25	Al-Sharjah - Al-Hilal	0:1 ✺
UAE League Cup
29.11.25	Al Ain - Al-Sharjah	4:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
24.11.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Sharjah	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
18.04.25	Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah	2:1
22.11.24	Al-Sharjah - Al-Nasr	3:0
UAE Presidents Cup
18.10.24	Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah	0:2
UAE Football League
14.03.24	Al-Sharjah - Al-Nasr	2:2
23.09.23	Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah	0:1
11.05.23	Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah	1:0
UAE Presidents Cup
31.01.23	Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah	1:2

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