Match Info

UAE League - Round 10

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Al Maktoum Stadium (Dubai)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv
World	Triller TV+


	Al-Nasr		Al Ain

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.7	1.75	Watch
	4.17	3.97	1.73	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.75
	4.27	3.65	1.69	Watch
	4.25	3.8	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.88)	3.72 ↓ (3.82)	1.72 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nasr
22.3%

Draw
24.6%

Al Ain
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

24.3%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

24.3%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nasr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Al Ain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Al Nasr - Al Ain Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Nasr will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Al Ain will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ain: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Al Ain (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Ain (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Al Tamimi A. (G) 24. Al Zaabi Z. 2. Sultan S. 4. Glauber 52. Felipe Motta 19. Milivojevic L. (C) 20. Agudelo K. 6. Mahdi H. 10. Ghayedi M. 28. Toure A. 13. Mierez R.	17. Eisa K. (C) 28. Chadli N. 56. Niang A. 14. Ratnik M. 4. Ben Khaleq Y. 2. Rodrigues R. 70. Traore A. K. 6. Nader Y. 20. Palacios M. 10. Kaku 9. Laba K.
Substitutes
88. Abdulaziz A. 8. Abdulbasit M. 25. Abdulrahman O. (G) 53. Adli M. (G) 80. Al Somhi S. 23. Doumbia C. 21. Idrees A. 5. Karamatic M. 43. Mensah B. 38. Ndiaye M. 75. Osama Z.	8. Abbas M. 1. Bu Senda M. (G) 15. Erik Menezes 88. Hamid M. 35. Hassan S. (G) 30. Hazim Mohammad 97. Jasic A. 57. Niang M. 13. Rahimi E. H. 80. Udoh J. 68. Ziane S.
Coaches
Jokanovic S.	Ivic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Laba K. ⚽, Ben Khaleq Y. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Mierez R. ⚽,
20', 1 - 2, Palacios M. ⚽, Laba K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chadli N. ↓, Abbas M. ↑,
59', Mahdi H. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
66', Nader Y. 🟨,
70', Rodrigues R. 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Glauber ⚽,
75', Sultan S. 🟨,
79', Rodrigues R. ↓, Jasic A. ↑,
79', Nader Y. ↓, Erik Menezes ↑,
90', Mierez R. ↓, Doumbia C. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

Al Ain is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 2.

Al-Nasr is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Al Ain has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Nasr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Al Ain has had a series of home games.

In this match, Al Ain is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nasr won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nasr SC
UAE Football League
21.12.25	Al Bataeh - Al-Nasr	2:3 ✺
UAE League Cup
13.12.25	Al Ain - Al-Nasr	0:2 ✺
05.12.25	Al-Nasr - Al Ain	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli	4:2 penalties ✺
UAE Football League
21.11.25	Al-Nasr - Al Dhafra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.2 WWLWW
- Al Ain FC
Gulf Club Champions League
23.12.25	Al Ain - Zakho	0:1 ✺
UAE Football League
20.12.25	Al Ain - Ittihad Kalba	2:0 ✺
UAE League Cup
13.12.25	Al Ain - Al-Nasr	0:2 ✺
05.12.25	Al-Nasr - Al Ain	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Al Ain - Al-Sharjah	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UAE League Cup
13.12.25	Al Ain - Al-Nasr	0:2
05.12.25	Al-Nasr - Al Ain	0:3
UAE Football League
23.05.25	Al-Nasr - Al Ain	0:2
21.01.25	Al Ain - Al-Nasr	4:1
07.04.24	Al Ain - Al-Nasr	1:3
UAE League Cup
12.12.23	Al Ain - Al-Nasr	1:2
19.10.23	Al-Nasr - Al Ain	0:2

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