Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium (Al Ain)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, Q Football Asia, TOD
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	GTV, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	ESPN
Peru	Disney+
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Ukraine	Sport 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
International	Sport 2 Baltic


	Al Ain		Al-Nassr Riyadh

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.90	3.80	1.80
	3.3	3.65	1.92	Watch
	3.47	4.03	2.02
	3.72	3.98	1.84	Watch
	3.3	3.95	1.96
	3.75	3.83	1.9	Watch
	3.25	3.7	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (5.8)	3.85 ↓ (4.88)	1.92 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Ain
26.6%

Draw
24.4%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
49%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16%

19%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

18.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Ain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Ain's performance.

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Nassr Riyadh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Ain that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Nassr Riyadh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Al Ain - Al Nassr Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al Ain will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Ain (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Eisa K. (C) 19. Lazaro V. 4. Ben Khaleq Y. 25. Rabia R. 6. Skoko D. 2. Rodrigues R. 10. Kaku 70. Traore A. K. 20. Palacios M. 13. Rahimi E. H. 21. Rahimi S.	1. Al Aqidi N. (G) 12. Boushal N. 3. Simakan M. 5. Al Amri A. 26. Martinez I. 6. Al Nasser S. 17. Al Khaibari A. 11. Samu Costa 10. Mane S. 79. Joao Felix 7. Ronaldo C. (C)
Substitutes
18. Bello Ilou B. 1. Bu Senda M. (G) 15. Erik Menezes 7. Giakoumakis G. 88. Hamid M. 35. Hassan S. (G) 97. Jasic A. 3. Marcos Maia 38. Ndiaye I. 56. Niang A. 54. Okpoti I. 80. Udoh J.	8. Abdulkareem H. 56. Al Ghamdi R. 9. Al Hamdan A. 66. Al-Mas S. (G) 14. Al Najei S. 53. Al Otaibi A. (G) 4. Al Sharari N. 70. Aman A. 20. Angelo 24. Bento (G) 60. Haqawi S. 50. Qasheesh M.
Coaches
Ivic V.	Postecoglou A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Rahimi E. H. ⚽,
45+2', Al Nasser S. 🟨,
45+4', Rahimi E. H. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Al Nasser S. ↓, Al Ghamdi R. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Rahimi E. H. ⚽, Kaku (A),
69', Rahimi E. H. ↓, Giakoumakis G. ↑,
69', Rodrigues R. ↓, Erik Menezes ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Rahimi S. ⚽, Kaku (A),
74', Samu Costa ↓, Angelo ↑,
74', Al Amri A. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
77', Kaku ↓, Ndiaye I. ↑,
82', Giakoumakis G. 🟨,
85', 4 - 0, Giakoumakis G. ⚽, Rahimi S. (A),
90+1', Al Hamdan A. 🟨,
90+1', Eisa K. 🟨,
90+2', Palacios M. ↓, Jasic A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ain won 3.

Al Ain is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Nassr is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al Ain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Nassr is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al Ain won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Ain won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Ain FC
UAE Football League
10.09.26	Al Ain - Al Wasl	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	Ittihad Kalba - Al Ain	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Al Ain - Al-Nasr	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Al Ain - Khor Fakkan	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Bani Yas - Al Ain	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWWW
- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
12.09.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Abha	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Ain	5:1
11.03.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Ain	4:4 penalties
04.03.24	Al Ain - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:0
Saudi Professional League
08.01.21	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Ain	3:0
AFC Champions League
24.09.20	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Ain	0:1
18.02.20	Al Ain - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2

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