Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 22 January 2024, Monday


	Al-Qaisumah		Al-Najma

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.93
	3.5	3.6	1.87
	3.47	3.79	1.9
	3.2	3.5	1.83
	3.49	3.64	1.87	Watch
	3.15	3.6	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.55)	3.61 ↑ (3.5)	1.9 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qaisumah
27.2%

Draw
25.1%

Al-Najma
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

25.7%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

25.2%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qaisumah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Qaisumah's form might have worsened.

Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Najma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qaisumah than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qaisumah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Najma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Al Qaisumah - Al Najma Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al-Qaisumah will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Al-Najma will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Al-Qaisumah is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Najma is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Najma will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al-Qaisumah won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qaisumah FC
Saudi Division 1
09.01.24	Hajer - Al-Qaisumah	1:0 ✺
02.01.24	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Taraji	3:1 ✺
27.12.23	Ohud Medina - Al-Qaisumah	1:1 ✺
18.12.23	Al-Batin - Al-Qaisumah	2:3 ✺
11.12.23	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Qadisiya	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWTWL
- Al-Najma Unaizah
Saudi Division 1
08.01.24	Al-Najma - Al-Ain	0:1 ✺
01.01.24	Al-Faisaly - Al-Najma	1:2 ✺
25.12.23	Al-Najma - Al-Qadisiya	0:3 ✺
20.12.23	Al-Safa - Al-Najma	1:1 ✺
12.12.23	Al-Najma - Al-Batin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
15.08.23	Al-Najma - Al-Qaisumah	0:0

Al-Qaisumah - Al-Najma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide