Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 11 December 2023, Monday


	Al-Qaisumah		Al-Qadisiya

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.8	1.51
	5.5	4	1.5
	5.86	4.13	1.5
	5.86	4.13	1.5
	5.8	3.8	1.4
	6.05	4.1	1.44	Watch
	5.4	3.9	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.67 ↑ (4.49)	3.98 ↑ (3.5)	1.48 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qaisumah
16%

Draw
22.8%

Al-Qadisiya
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

26%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

25.6%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qaisumah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Qadisiya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qaisumah than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Qadisiya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Al Qaisumah - Al Qadisiya Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al-Qaisumah will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Qadisiya: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Al-Qaisumah is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Qadisiya is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Al-Qadisiya is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Qaisumah won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Qaisumah won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qaisumah FC
Saudi Division 1
04.12.23	Al-Qaisumah - Jeddah	2:3 ✺
28.11.23	Al-Faisaly - Al-Qaisumah	2:1 ✺
06.11.23	Al-Safa - Al-Qaisumah	4:1 ✺
31.10.23	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Kholood	3:2 ✺
24.10.23	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Qaisumah	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWL
- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Division 1
04.12.23	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Bukayriyah	2:1 ✺
28.11.23	Al-Qadisiya - Jeddah	3:3 ✺
08.11.23	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	2:1 ✺
01.11.23	Al-Orobah - Al-Qadisiya	1:0 ✺
25.10.23	Al-Kholood - Al-Qadisiya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
26.04.23	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Qadisiya	0:1
14.11.22	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Qaisumah	1:0

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