Match Info

Division 1 - Round 34

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al Raed		Abha

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.5	2.58
	1.67	4.24	4.53
	1.64	4	4.26	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.63
	2.34	3.34	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.69)	3.66 ↑ (3.22)	3.32 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Raed
46%

Draw
25.7%

Abha
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28.4%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

27.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Raed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Raed's performance.

Abha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Abha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Raed that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Abha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Al Raed - Abha Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al Raed will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Abha will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Raed: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Al Ohaymid S. (G) 2. Al Shuqayran T. 66. Whaeshi B. 21. Gonzalez O. (C) 13. Al Yousif A. 42. Al Zahrani A. 8. Narvaez J. 24. Al Salouli S. 10. Yoda K. 26. Bouzok Y. 9. Gano Z.	45. Akjah M. (G) 12. Ibrahim Y. Y. 3. Gaari J. (C) 19. Al Fahad A. 24. Al Zahrani H. 79. Al Jayzani F. 8. Al Daajani N. 14. Al Ghamdi F. 20. Al Shammari H. 34. Boumedmed K. 88. Sow S.
Substitutes
25. Abdulrazaq F. 12. Al-Balawi A. 32. Al Dossary M. 88. Al Otaibi M. (G) 6. Al Shaikhi A. 7. Al Shaikh M. 11. Al Shanqiti W. 45. Sunbul Y. 77. Ziyad Al Refaei	4. Abuyabes M. 77. Agi 21. Al Bouq A. (G) 66. Al Mousa H. 28. Al Mutairi B. 23. Al Oufi M. 25. Asiri W. 5. Suleiman B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Gano Z. ⚽, Yoda K. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Sow S. ⚽, Al Ghamdi F. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Yoda K. ⚽, Al Salouli S. (A),
45', 3 - 1, Gano Z. ⚽, Bouzok Y. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Al Salouli S. ↓, Al Shaikh M. ↑,
56', 4 - 1, Gano Z. ⚽, Yoda K. (A),
60', Al Shammari H. ↓, Suleiman B. ↑,
60', Al Jayzani F. ↓, Agi ↑,
61', Narvaez J. ↓, Al Shaikhi A. ↑,
61', Yoda K. ↓, Sunbul Y. ↑,
61', Gano Z. ↓, Al Shanqiti W. ↑,
68', Ibrahim Y. Y. ↓, Al Mousa H. ↑,
72', Al Shaikh M. 🟨,
75', Sow S. ↓, Al Oufi M. ↑,
75', Al Zahrani H. ↓, Al Mutairi B. ↑,
76', Whaeshi B. ↓, Ziyad Al Refaei ↑,
84', 5 - 1, Bouzok Y. ⚽, Al Shanqiti W. (A),
90', Sunbul Y. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Abha is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Saudi Professional League

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Raed won 2.

Al Raed is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Abha has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Al Raed won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Raed won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Al Raed	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Al Raed - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.04%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Abha - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.53%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Raed
Saudi Division 1
09.05.26	Al-Zulfi - Al Raed	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Al-Ula - Al Raed	2:1 ✺
27.04.26	Al Raed - Al-Faisaly	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Al-Diriyah - Al Raed	1:3 ✺
15.04.26	Al Raed - Al-Orobah	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLLWL
- Abha FC
Saudi Division 1
09.05.26	Abha - Al-Adalh	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Al-Diriyah - Abha	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Abha - Al-Batin	3:1 ✺
21.04.26	Al-Taee - Abha	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Abha - Jeddah	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
17.01.26	Abha - Al Raed	2:1
Saudi Professional League
29.12.23	Al Raed - Abha	4:3
19.08.23	Abha - Al Raed	1:0
10.02.23	Al Raed - Abha	3:1
27.08.22	Abha - Al Raed	2:1
27.06.22	Al Raed - Abha	1:0
01.01.22	Abha - Al Raed	1:0

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