The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Safa Beyrut 62.2%
Draw 23.1%
Bourj 14.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.9%
22.3%
13.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.3%
20%
15.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Safa Beyrut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Bourj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Safa Beyrut than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bourj than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Al Safa Beyrut - Bourj Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Camara T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Mehanna H. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 8 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Safa won 2.
In recent matches, Al-Safa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bourj's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Bourj may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Al-Safa is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Safa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Safa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
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