Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Bourj		Tadamon Sour

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.23	2.33
	1.40	4.39	7.24	Watch
	3.05	3.16	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (4.32)	3.59 ↑ (3.42)	3.92 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bourj
44.3%

Draw
29.1%

Tadamon Sour
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

26.6%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bourj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bourj's performance.

Tadamon Sour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tadamon Sour might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Bourj - Tadamon Sour Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Hijazi A. ⚽, Khriess H. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Gildo ⚽, Bazzi H. (A),
40', 2 - 1, Khriess H. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 3 - 1, Hazime H. ⚽, Khriess H. (A),

Preview

Tadamon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tadamon is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bourj won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bourj won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bourj FC
Lebanese Premier League
28.09.25	Bourj - Al-Mabarrah	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Bourj - Jwaya	0:3 ✺
05.07.25	Bourj - Racing Beirut	2:1 ✺
01.07.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Bourj	0:3 ✺
26.06.25	Bourj - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWWW
- Tadamon Sour
Lebanese Premier League
27.09.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Tadamon Sour	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Tadamon Sour - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:1 ✺
17.07.25	Nejmeh - Tadamon Sour	4:1 ✺
13.07.25	Al-Ansar Beirut - Tadamon Sour	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Al-Ahed - Tadamon Sour	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
01.02.25	Bourj - Tadamon Sour	0:2
08.12.23	Tadamon Sour - Bourj	0:1
09.10.22	Tadamon Sour - Bourj	0:1
19.03.22	Tadamon Sour - Bourj	0:1
19.09.21	Bourj - Tadamon Sour	1:1

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