Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 29

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday


	Al-Sahel Qatif		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.2	1.38
	9.8	4.3	1.3
	7.75	3.95	1.35
	8	3.8	1.35
	7.7	4.33	1.38	Watch
	7	4.2	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.83 ↑ (5.95)	4.13 ↑ (3.47)	1.36 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Sahel Qatif
11.5%

Draw
21.9%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

26.1%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

25.4%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Sahel Qatif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ahli Jeddah's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sahel Qatif than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Sahel Qatif - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Al-Sahel is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Ahli is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Al-Ahli is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al-Sahel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Sahel Qatif
Saudi Division 1
15.04.23	Ohud Medina - Al-Sahel Qatif	1:0 ✺
11.04.23	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Sahel Qatif	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Al-Sahel Qatif - Al-Faisaly	1:1 ✺
03.04.23	Al-Sahel Qatif - Hajer	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Al-Orobah - Al-Sahel Qatif	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTTLT
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Division 1
15.04.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Faisaly	2:2 ✺
10.04.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ain	1:0 ✺
04.04.23	Al-Jabalain - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Riyadh	0:2 ✺
07.03.23	Najran - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
31.12.22	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Sahel Qatif	2:2

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