Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday


	Najran		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.1	1.4
	8.5	4.2	1.34
	7.2	4	1.34
	8.02	4.09	1.36
	9	3.8	1.32
	8.3	4.35	1.36	Watch
	7.6	4.2	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.87 ↑ (6.47)	4.11 ↑ (3.82)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najran
11.5%

Draw
22%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

23.5%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

22.8%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najran than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Najran - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Najran will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Najran won 1.

Recent matches Najran is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Ahli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al-Ahli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Ahli is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Najran won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Najran won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najran SC
Saudi Division 1
27.02.23	Al-Ain - Najran	0:0 ✺
20.02.23	Najran - Al-Riyadh	1:2 ✺
13.02.23	Al-Jabalain - Najran	1:1 ✺
07.02.23	Najran - Al Hazem	0:3 ✺
02.02.23	Al-Qadisiya - Najran	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TLTLW
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Division 1
01.03.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Jeddah	1:0 ✺
20.02.23	Ohud Medina - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:2 ✺
13.02.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Orobah	1:0 ✺
07.02.23	Al-Kholood - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
02.02.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Akhdoud	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
11.10.22	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Najran	2:1
Saudi Professional League
27.02.16	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Najran	1:2
30.10.15	Najran - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1
11.03.15	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Najran	2:1
23.08.14	Najran - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1
28.03.14	Najran - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:5
07.12.13	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Najran	3:2

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