Match Info

Date: 31 December 2021, Friday


	Al Salmiya		Al Yarmouk Meshref

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.6	5.5
	1.35	4.3	5.8
	1.37	4.8	5.8
	1.41	4.83	6.09
	1.4	4.4	5.8
	1.33	5.15	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)	4.68 ↓ (5)	6.02 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Salmiya
65.6%

Draw
19.3%

Al Yarmouk Meshref
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79%

15.4%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Salmiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Al Yarmouk Meshref has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Salmiya than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Salmiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Yarmouk Meshref than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	13.3%	26.7%

Al Salmiya - Al Yarmouk Meshref Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Al Salmiya will win (votes: 18 - 60%). Al Yarmouk will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Salmiya: 42.5% – 77.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Al Salmiya is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al Yarmouk is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Yarmouk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al Salmiya is absolute favorite.

In this match Al Salmiya is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Al Salmiya won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Salmiya won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Salmiya
Kuwaiti Premier League
26.12.21	Al Salmiya - Al Qadsia	3:2 ✺
17.12.21	Al Tadamun - Al Salmiya	2:2 ✺
10.12.21	Al Salmiya - Al Kuwait	1:0 ✺
03.12.21	Al Arabi - Al Salmiya	2:2 ✺
27.11.21	Al Salmiya - Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WTWTW
- Al Yarmouk Meshref
Kuwaiti Premier League
24.12.21	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi	1:0 ✺
15.12.21	Al Qadsia - Al Yarmouk Meshref	3:1 ✺
09.12.21	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al Naser	0:1 ✺
03.12.21	Al Tadamun - Al Yarmouk Meshref	2:1 ✺
26.11.21	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Kazma	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kuwaiti Premier League
02.11.20	Al Salmiya - Al Yarmouk Meshref	2:1
03.09.20	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al Salmiya	2:4
14.01.20	Al Salmiya - Al Yarmouk Meshref	0:2
21.05.17	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al Salmiya	3:2
06.03.17	Al Salmiya - Al Yarmouk Meshref	2:1
13.02.16	Al Salmiya - Al Yarmouk Meshref	4:1
05.11.15	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al Salmiya	0:2

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